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Brussels

Brussels is a work in progress at Aidan O'Brien's Cashel yard, a big, raw 3-year-old who showed genuine promise as a juvenile but has yet to fulfil that early potential. He broke his maiden at The Curragh in May last year and followed that with strong efforts in two top-level races, finishing second in the Middle Park and the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint — the kind of form that marked him out as a colt with a future. In 13 career races, he has won once and placed four times, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 12 outings, though those numbers flatten the real picture: he was genuinely competitive early on, and his form dipped notably after his breakthrough victory.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Wootton Bassett
Mother
Fond Words
Trainer
Aidan O'Brien
Owner
Mrs J Magnierm Tabord Smithwesterberg
Official rating
101

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
13
Career races
1
Wins
7.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
21 days
Since last race

🏁 Next race

Fri 23 Oct
Dundalk (AW)
About 5 furlongs · Standard all-weather surface · 26 runners

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

What has become clear, both from his recent results and from O'Brien's own observations, is that Brussels has developed into a different horse than the one who won at The Curragh sixteen months ago. He is physically massive — O'Brien describes him as "a big, strong, fast horse" and "a massive, big, powerful horse" — but size has come with immaturity. The trainer notes that Brussels was "babyish" when he broke his maiden, and that assessment has only become more relevant. His last six races show no wins, with finishes of 5th, 7th, 12th, 5th, 19th, and 4th most recently. The 19th-place finish is particularly stark, though O'Brien's comments suggest he remains convinced of the colt's ability rather than worried about his talent.

The plan going forward centres on ground and patience. O'Brien wants better conditions underfoot and is aiming Brussels at the Commonwealth Cup, a significant sprint race. At Class 1 level — the sport's top tier — Brussels has managed zero wins from three attempts, a sobering statistic that reflects just how hard racing at the very top is. But O'Brien's tone is one of backing the horse's long-term prospects rather than panicking. All the racing experience this season, he believes, will pay dividends later, and there is talk of classic races further down the line. For now, Brussels remains active and in work, a colt with undoubted speed but still very much a developing prospect.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
27 Sep
5th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 9 runners
13 Sep
7th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 18 runners
31 Jul
12th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
18 Jul
5th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
19 Jun
19th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
23 May
4th
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
1 May
6th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
10 Oct
2nd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
27 Sep
2nd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
11 Sep
4th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Ryan Moore Current jockey
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 other 27 Sep 25%
Newmarket
Galloping
3 2 seconds, 1 other 10 Oct 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 19 Jun 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 second 8 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Sep 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 23 May 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%