Brighton

Has the best record of any horse in the field at this exact trip — 1 win from 4 races at a mile and two furlongs. The downside is a poor recent run (8th at Windsor) and zero wins from eight attempts on good ground, which is similar to the normal conditions on offer today.

The market favourite at 6.0, and the trainer Tony Carroll has been in solid form lately. However, Night Bear's record on normal ground is alarming — just one win from 26 races on it — and the course form at Brighton, a right-handed track, is also a concern given its struggles on right-handed courses.

One of the least experienced horses in the field with just seven races to its name, and returning from a 144-day break. Its only win came at Dundalk earlier this year, and there's no evidence yet of how it handles a course like Brighton.

Eight races in and still searching for a first win — and not a single placed finish either. Recent form shows finishes of 7th and 5th at Lingfield, and at 21.0 the market shares the scepticism.

Carries the lowest weight in the field and is rated 5lbs below the average of its rivals, which reflects its modest overall record. The one genuine positive is a 2-from-9 record on good ground — the best ground record in the field for these conditions — though a 9th here at Brighton just 11 days ago is hard to look past.

The editorial selection, and the standout reason is simple: all three of this horse's career wins have come right here at Brighton, giving it a record of 3 wins from 12 races at the course — the best course record in the field. It ran a solid fourth at Windsor last month on its return, and the 1m 2f trip is firmly in its wheelhouse with a 25% win rate at that distance.

Ran fourth here at Brighton just 11 days ago, beaten just over two lengths, so course and current fitness aren't in question. The big unknown is that this horse has never raced on normal ground conditions before — every race to date has been on a different surface — so today is genuinely uncharted territory.

Two wins from five races at Brighton makes this one of only two genuine course specialists in the field, alongside the selection Fighting Poet. The problem is recent form — 13th at Windsor and 7th at Lingfield in the last two outings — and a record of zero wins from eight races on normal ground conditions is a real obstacle today.

Has won twice at Brighton from an unspecified number of course appearances, which gives it a legitimate course claim. However, six consecutive finishes between 5th and 8th make it hard to get excited, and the last run was 76 days ago.