Brighton

The lowest-rated horse in the field, 4lbs below average, and stepping up two class levels — a tough ask. What works in her favour is jockey Silvestre De Sousa, who has won 3 from 23 rides in the last two weeks, the best recent form of any rider here. Her last three finishes — third, fourth, fourth — show improvement, but the class jump is a real barrier.

Eight races in and still winless, though two placed finishes show she is not without ability. Her best recent effort was third at Lingfield six weeks ago, and she has been a consistent fifth or third in a pattern that suggests she finds a level but struggles to break through it. Nothing here makes her stand out from her rivals.

Remarkably, this horse ran just yesterday and lines up again today — by far the quickest turnaround in the field. He finished fifth at Leicester and fourth at Wolverhampton in the eight days before that, so the legs have been busy. Racing again after a single day's rest is unusual and worth questioning, even if his record on normal ground (1 win from 6) is solid.

The editorial pick, and the most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 14 races compared to a field average of 7. He is running off a mark 2lbs below the one he won off, which means the handicapper has given him a small leg-up, and his last run at Lingfield was described as better than the bare fourth-place finish suggests. The worry is his record on normal ground — no wins from four attempts on it — but the overall case is compelling.