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Night Bear

Nine years old, with 45 races behind him and a career that has taken him from modest beginnings to a Class 2 victory at Nottingham, Night Bear is the kind of horse who has seen it all. He has won 4 times in total — roughly 1 in every 11 races — which is a modest return on the surface, but the story is more interesting than the headline number suggests.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Dragon Pulse
Mother
Contenance
Owner
R Bellamy
Rating
55

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
45
Career races
4
Wins
8.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The peak of his career came in the autumn of 2022. He kicked things off with his first win at Haydock Park in July of that year, then stepped up to beat better horses in a top-level race at Nottingham in September. That Class 2 win is significant — these are among the best races in Britain, and most horses at Night Bear's level never get near them. For a horse who now typically competes at Class 6, the lowest tier, that Nottingham victory represents a high-water mark he has not been able to revisit.

His last win came at Brighton in June 2024, now two years ago, and he has gone six races without troubling the scorer since. That said, recent form shows some encouragement — a second place and a third in his last five completed outings suggest he is running consistently enough, even if the winner's enclosure has become a distant memory.

There are conditions that bring out the best in him. On fast, dry ground, he has won 3 times from just 6 attempts — that is a 50% win rate, which is a remarkable figure by any measure. When the ground is in his favour, he becomes a genuinely different proposition. He also suits a distance of around a mile and three or four furlongs, where he has claimed 3 of his 4 career wins from 20 races at that trip, a win rate of 15% — three times better than his overall average.

Jockey Jack Doughty has partnered him ten times without a win, which is one of those statistics that quietly tells you the partnership has not quite clicked yet. Behind the scenes, trainer Tony Carroll has had a productive season, sending out 136 winners from his yard in Worcestershire — so the operation knows how to win races. Night Bear, raced just yesterday and still active at nine, remains one of those horses who keeps showing up and keeps running respectable races. Whether he can find one more winning opportunity on dry ground at the right distance is the question his supporters are still asking.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 3 wins from 6 starts (50%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 15% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 1 wins from 26 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
1M6F – 2M
Ok
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Class 6 (grassroots)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 May
5th
Windsor
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 16 runners
28 Apr
10th
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners
28 Mar
2nd
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 10 runners
26 Feb
DNF
chelmsford
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 9 runners
5 Feb
3rd
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 11 runners
22 Jan
2nd
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 12 runners
4 Jan
4th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 11 runners
3 Dec
6th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 11 runners
21 Nov
12th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 14 runners
20 Oct
6th
Wolverhampton
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/10
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
Neil Callan Current Jockey
40%
Win rate
2/5
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mollie Phillips
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr Jason Dixon
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Seb Sanders
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jamie Moore
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
15 1 win, 2 seconds, 3 thirds, 9 other 28 Apr 6.7%
Brighton
Undulating
4 1 win, 3 thirds 1 Jul 25%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
4 1 third, 3 other 3 Dec 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 thirds 10 Mar 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
3 3 other 20 Oct 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 7 Aug 50%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 29 Mar 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 other 8 May 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
2 2 other 25 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 win 16 Jul 100%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Sep 0%
hereford 1 1 other 24 Oct 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 second 24 Aug 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 23 May 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 19 Sep 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 26 Feb 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 2 Jul 0%