Brighton

The market has made Banksman the clear favourite at 4.5, and the editorial verdict backs that up — this horse is 2 wins from 2 races at this class level and ran at Brighton just 11 days ago. It's the top-rated horse in the field, sitting 5lbs above the average. The main concern is a pulled-up run at Plumpton two months ago, though that came on a very different type of track.

With 71 career races, Embarked is by far the most experienced horse in this field — the average runner here has had around 29 races. That experience has produced just 4 wins, a rate of roughly 1 in every 18 races, and recent form shows three consecutive runs outside the top eight. The trainer has been in decent form lately with 2 winners from 13 runners in the last two weeks, which is the best positive to take.

Fai Fai has never won at Brighton in 7 attempts, which is a significant red flag at a track where course form can matter. Its two career wins came in quick succession last summer on fast, dry ground — today's normal conditions are different, and the horse has no wins on this type of surface across its career. Forty-seven career races for two wins tells you this is a horse that works hard without much reward.

Rainbow Sign is one of the very few horses in this field who has actually won at Brighton, making it a notable flag in a race where course experience can count. It has been in reasonable shape recently, finishing 3rd and 4th in its last two runs, and the 7-furlong trip suits it — it wins roughly 1 in 6 races at this distance. The 65 days off the track is worth watching, but the recent form suggests it hasn't gone off the boil.