Has won at this course and distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesWon at this distance 5 times
Why this score
−There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in the field by 3 pounds and one of the strongest course specialists here — three wins from 10 races at Brighton, with an eye-catching record of four wins from 10 races on fast, dry ground. Today's normal conditions are softer than its ideal, and its record on normal ground across 26 races shows just one win — so the ground is a real concern. If the sun bakes Brighton out between now and race time, this becomes much more interesting.
Top rated by 3lbsCourse specialist (3 wins from 10 here)
Back after 71 days offWon 1 of last 5Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs)Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
+Wins 25% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
+Has won over this distance 2 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
−A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Has the best record in the field at this exact distance — two wins from seven races over seven furlongs — which immediately sets it apart from most rivals. The worry is that today's normal ground is a real problem: it has never won on it in six attempts. Jockey Benoit De La Sayette has a decent record in this partnership but that ground stat is hard to ignore.
+No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
+A 12.9% overall win rate for C. Hills. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
−This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Zero wins from eight races, yet has finished in the top three five times — a horse that keeps getting close without crossing the line first. Crucially, today marks its first time on normal ground conditions, so we simply have no idea how it will handle it. The wind surgery in its history suggests the yard have been searching for answers.
Back after 169 days offWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
Why this score
+With an average finish of 2.7 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
+J. Boyle wins 9.8% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
−19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Returning from a five-and-a-half-month absence, which is the kind of layoff that always raises questions about race fitness. Has raced at Brighton before and ran a respectable fourth here, but its best form on paper comes over slightly longer trips than today's seven furlongs. One win from 16 races overall and no wins on fast or normal ground makes this a tough sell.
Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeLikes this ground (wins 29% of runs)
Why this score
−The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Seven wins from 45 races is one of the better career records in this field, but recent form is uninspiring — three runs back from seventh, fourth, and sixth. A bigger concern for today is that it has never won on normal ground in seven attempts, and all its best form has come at other venues. Not the angle you want heading into a competitive 19-runner race.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
Back after 170 days offWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 2 times
Why this score
+A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
+Has won 2 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
−A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Brighton last time it appeared here and has finished second at the course twice as well — so the track clearly suits. The problem is it has been absent for 170 days, the longest break of any horse in the field, and it has never won on normal ground in six attempts. A lot of unknowns for a horse that needs things to go right.
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+A 12.4% win rate at this course for L. Morris. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
−This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
One win from 21 races — a modest record — and that sole victory came over 19 months ago, leaving a long wait since. The best angle here is jockey Luke Morris, who is the busiest rider in recent form in this partnership with 13 wins from 115 races together. However, King David has zero wins from 12 races on normal ground, which is a serious red flag for today.
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
−The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field with just five races under its belt and no wins to show from them. Its best effort is a single third-place finish, and a run beaten 28 lengths at Yarmouth doesn't inspire confidence. With limited data and nothing to cross-reference against more seasoned rivals, this is a genuine unknown.
Has won at this course and distanceBack after 165 days offWon 2 of last 5Won here 3 timesHas won on this ground
Why this score
+Has won at this distance 5 times before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
+With an 8.7% win rate overall, J. F. Egan is one of the more dependable riders.
−This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Along with Lunanova and Shaw Park, one of the few genuine course specialists in this field — three wins from 14 races at Brighton is a standout stat, and its last win came here just six months ago. The concern is a 165-day absence and a record of zero wins from 12 races on normal ground, despite thriving here on faster conditions. The course form is real, but the ground and layoff are genuine doubts.
+This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
+A 21.7% win rate at this course for J. Owen. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
−19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Comes here on the back of a win just 12 days ago and has rattled off three consecutive top-three finishes — the most consistent recent form of any runner in the field. The trainer James Owen is in good form and the jockey-trainer combination has delivered 13 wins from 67 races together. The catch is that all its success has come on artificial surfaces, and it has never won on turf in normal or fast ground conditions.
+A low win rate on this ground from 7 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
−The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Racing for the third time in just 14 days, which is a relentless schedule — it ran sixth just three days ago and second at Thirsk eight days before that. The trainer James Owen has been in strong form recently, winning 3 from 18 in the past two weeks. However, Orbital Chime has never won on any turf ground type in its career, and today is a turf race, which is a significant problem.
Runs again after just 3 daysTrainer in best form (3 from 18 last 2wk)
Has won at this course and distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 3 times
Why this score
+Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
+Has won 3 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
−A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Has a decent overall record at this distance — winning 1 in 5 races over seven furlongs to a mile — but last time out finished 12th and has no wins from eight attempts at left-handed sharp tracks like Brighton. The data here works directly against it: the course profile simply doesn't match where this horse has found success.
+Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
+Today's ground is Good, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
−A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The oldest horse in the field at seven with a modest recent run of three sixth-to-eighth finishes. Its best form has come on soft, wet ground — two wins from six races in those conditions — but today is normal going, on which it has no wins from six attempts. Struggles on right-handed tracks that gallop make Brighton's particular layout another concern.
Won 0 of last 5Won here 3 timesLikes this ground (wins 50% of runs)
Why this score
+A 5.8% overall win rate for L. Dace. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
−The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The standout course specialist in the entire field — three wins from just six races at Brighton is an extraordinary win rate for any horse at any venue. It also has the best overall win rate in the race, winning roughly 1 in every 5 races across its career, and has won on normal ground here specifically, which is exactly what today offers. Recent form has been poor with two heavy defeats, but the Brighton record alone makes it impossible to ignore.
Course specialist (3 wins from 6 here)Best record on this ground (2 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Has won at this course and distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 4 timesWon at this distance 4 times
Why this score
+Has raced 11 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
+M. Coppins has won 17.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
−A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
At 12 years old, this is by far the most experienced horse in the field — 67 races compared to the field average of 32 — and has four wins at Brighton from 28 visits, so the course is familiar territory. The problem is a clean record of zero wins from 11 races on normal turf ground, which is what awaits today. Veteran status and course experience count for something, but that ground record is a persistent obstacle.
Has won at this course and distanceBack after 73 days offWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeLikes this ground (wins 33% of runs)
Why this score
+Wins 33% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
+K. Fox wins 9.1% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
−A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
One win from 16 races and no standout angle that makes it jump out in a field this size. Recent form shows a third and then an eighth at Kempton, followed by a 73-day break. Has shown it can win on normal ground turf in theory, but zero wins from six races on artificial slow surfaces and a modest overall record leave this without a compelling case.
+This type of ground has not suited the horse: 12 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
+A 21.7% win rate at this course for J. Owen. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
−This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Won last time out 12 days ago and has hit the top three in three straight races — matching Simply Blue for the best recent momentum in the field. The trainer-jockey combination has produced 13 wins from 67 races together and James Owen's yard has been firing in good form. The red flag is stark though: zero wins from 12 races on good turf ground, and Brighton on normal going is exactly that — all its success is rooted in artificial surfaces.
Has won at this course and distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 4 timesWon at this distance 4 times
Why this score
+Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
+T. Carroll wins 12.5% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
−This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Four wins from 19 races at Brighton makes this one of the strongest course records in the field, alongside Lunanova and Shaw Park. It won at Southwell five weeks ago and is generally a reliable placer, but has zero wins from 12 attempts on left-handed sharp tracks — which is a significant issue given Brighton fits exactly that profile. The course form is compelling but the track-type stat raises a real contradiction worth noting.
Won 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesHas won on this ground
Why this score
+Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
+Has won 2 times at this course from 6 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
−A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field and is rated 6 pounds below the average, which in a handicap can be an advantage. Has won twice at Brighton from six visits, so the course is not unfamiliar territory. However, recent form is erratic — ninth, second, ninth — and it has zero wins from 12 races on right-handed galloping tracks, making the overall picture mixed at best.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldCourse specialist (2 wins from 6 here)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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