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Brighton

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Racing Value At bet365 Handicap
Awaiting result
Flat race · weights set to make it fair About 1.2 miles Good ground Grassroots race 19 runners £3,768 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 146 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
One of the most experienced horses in the field with 42 career races, but the recent form is poor — 6th, beaten 60 lengths at Windsor last time out, and returning from a 146-day break. It has never won on today's normal ground conditions across 14 attempts, which is a significant red flag. There is a Brighton connection — it finished 4th here about 10 months ago — but nothing to suggest a win is coming.
Among the more experienced (42 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Has won on this ground Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • A 33.3% win rate at this course for H. C Knight. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • H. C Knight wins 13.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Brighton is this horse's best track by a distance — two wins from six races here, compared to zero wins from 22 races anywhere else. That course form makes it stand out, but last time out it finished eighth, beaten nearly 30 lengths at Plumpton, which is a sharp contrast to the three consecutive top-three finishes before that. The jockey-trainer partnership has yet to win together in five attempts, which is worth noting.
Course specialist (2 wins from 6 here) 3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 84 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Has had 42 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
  • A 10.1% overall win rate for T. Queally. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Rated joint second-highest in the field, but the recent form is hard to ignore — 12th last time out, beaten over 36 lengths, and hasn't raced for 84 days since. Wins roughly 1 in every 10 races across a 42-race career, but has never won on a sharp right-handed or left-handed track, which covers most of the venues it frequents. Honest on paper, unconvincing in recent action.
2nd highest rated (OR 59)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • A 21.7% win rate at this course for J. Owen. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • Has an average of Class 6 in past races. Today's level should not be a shock.
  • This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The trainer James Owen is the busiest in form in this field, winning 3 from 18 runners in the past two weeks, which is the best recent yard form of any stable represented here. The horse itself has placed in two of its last three races and the 1m2f trip suits it well — it wins roughly 1 in every 5 races at this sort of distance. A fair contender if the trainer's current hot streak transfers to Brighton.
Trainer in best form (3 from 18 last 2wk)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 177 days off Won 0 of last 5 Has won on this ground Won at this distance 4 times
Why this score
  • Has won at this distance 4 times before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
  • The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
  • This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Returning from a 177-day absence and coming off three consecutive poor runs — 7th, 8th and 6th — which makes the comeback all the harder to assess. It has never won on today's normal ground conditions across five attempts, and has never won on right-handed galloping tracks in eight tries. Four career wins from 34 races is a decent record in theory, but the current trajectory doesn't inspire confidence.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 97 days off Jockey in form (1 win in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • G. Margarson has won 8.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from five races at Brighton makes this one of only two genuine course specialists in the field, alongside Chourmo — and that is a significant edge on a quirky track like Brighton. It hasn't raced for 97 days, so there is a fitness question, and it has never won on today's ground type across eight attempts. But when it comes to knowing this particular track, Twilight Guest has strong credentials.
Course specialist (2 wins from 5 here)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Jockey in form (1 win in 14 days) Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Won last time out at Lingfield and was second the time before that, so the form is genuinely good right now — one of the more in-form horses in this field on paper. The problem is Brighton itself: nine races here and not a single win, which is the worst Brighton record of any runner today. It thrives on the artificial surface at Lingfield, and the switch to turf at a very different track is a real concern.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 8 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
  • This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Placed in two of its last three races and ran second just 24 days ago, so it arrives in decent nick. However, it has never won on good ground across eight attempts, and has never won on left-handed undulating tracks — which is exactly the type of course Brighton is. Consistent enough, but the conditions here work against it.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • With a 6.2% win rate overall, S. Hitchcott is one of the more dependable riders.
  • A 12.3% overall win rate for G. & Josh Moore. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-weighted horse in the field, which gives it a theoretical advantage, but the form makes it almost impossible to make a case for. Five races, five finishes of 7th or worse, with three consecutive 9th-place finishes and never even a placed effort. Like My O My, it has never raced on normal turf ground, so today is a step into the unknown on top of everything else.
Carries lowest weight in field Never raced on normal ground
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 124 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
  • A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field by a wide margin — 13 pounds below the field average — which in a race like this is a very significant gap to bridge. Six career races, zero wins, zero places, and form figures that read 9th, 7th, 6th, 12th, 8th, 6th. Returning from a 124-day break makes this even harder to assess positively.
Lowest rated, 13lbs below average
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
The standout in-form horse in this field — winner just 18 days ago at Wolverhampton, with two second places in the three races before that, giving it the best current form of any runner here. It also has the best career win rate in the race, winning roughly 1 in every 6 outings. The concern is that all its wins have come on artificial surfaces, and it has never won on normal turf conditions like those at Brighton today.
3 straight top-3 finishes Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 96 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced horse in the field by some margin, with just four career races to its name and no wins or placed finishes from any of them. Hasn't raced for 96 days and the form trend is going in the wrong direction — finishing positions read 10th, 9th, 6th, 4th in order. Hard to make a case for it against more seasoned rivals.
Relatively inexperienced (4 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 409 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field by a considerable margin — this horse hasn't raced in 409 days, which is well over a year. When it has been fit and running, it has shown a liking for fast, dry ground, winning 2 from 4 races in those conditions, but today's surface is normal rather than quick. Coming back from such a long time off the track is a major unknown, and its five races at left-handed tracks have produced zero wins.
Absent 409 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Twenty career races and still waiting for a first win, yet this horse ran second just 24 days ago, beaten by barely a nose at Kempton. It has placed eight times from those 20 races — nearly half the time — which shows it competes, but keeps finding one too good. A horse that keeps knocking on the door without ever walking through it.
Winless from 20 career races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Barely any data to work with here — just one career race on the books, in which it finished 11th. That single outing tells us next to nothing about what this horse is capable of, and it is easily the least experienced runner in the field. An almost impossible horse to assess with any confidence.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 0 of last 5 Won here 3 times Likes this ground (wins 29% of runs) Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Alongside Twilight Guest, Chourmo is the only other course specialist in this 19-runner field — three wins from nine races at Brighton is an outstanding record and the best win rate of any runner at this venue today. It also has the best record at this exact distance in the race, winning 3 from 12 at a mile and two furlongs, and has won twice on ground similar to today's conditions. Despite being rated 13 below the top two, the course and distance profile here is hard to ignore.
Course specialist (3 wins from 9 here) Best record on this ground (2 from 7) Best record at this trip (3 from 12)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Back after 68 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Three consecutive third-place finishes is the standout here — this horse keeps running into the places without actually winning, and hasn't won a race in a long time across its 42-race career. Its wins have come on fast, dry ground, but it has never won on today's normal conditions and has a poor record on left-handed tracks. Reliable for minor honours, but winning looks a stretch.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
Fourteen races, zero wins, and just two placed finishes — this horse has spent most of its career well off the pace. Last time out it finished 21st in a race at Doncaster, beaten over 25 lengths, before a 4th at Bath 13 days ago. Still young at four years old, but the evidence so far is thin and the form figures don't suggest a turnaround is imminent.
Winless from 14 career races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Eight races and not a single win or placed finish — a blank scorecard that leaves very little to work with. Notably, it has never raced on normal turf conditions like today, having raced exclusively on artificial surfaces, so this is a completely unknown quantity in terms of ground. The recent form figures — 6th, 4th, 4th — suggest minor improvement, but a first win looks a long way off.
Never raced on normal ground
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.