✓ Trainer overall starts✓ Jockey wins at this course✓ Avg position (last 3 runs)
Back after 99 days offWon 1 of last 5
Why this score
+C. Johnston has won 12.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
+J. Callan has a good 21.7% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
−Jumping is a weakness. In jumps racing, poor jumping loses ground and confidence.
TrackLab Insight
Alba Gu Brath has never finished outside the top two in three races, which is a tidy record — but it has been off the track for 99 days, the second-longest absence in the field. It has also never raced on normal ground before, so today is uncharted territory on two fronts. Strong form profile, but questions to answer.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
+A 27.3% win rate at this course for R. Dawes. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
TrackLab Insight
Silver State is the busiest horse in this field by some distance, winning three of its eight races — the best win rate here — and it ran and won at Bath just yesterday, which is an extraordinary turnaround. Running again after only one day's rest is almost unheard of and makes this a real talking point; whether it can back up that quickly is the only question. The form is there, but the fatigue factor is real.
3 straight top-3 finishesRuns again after just 1 daysBest career win rate in field (1 in 3)
+A 21.9% win rate at this course for R. Varian. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
+R. Varian has won 19.0% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−An 8.4% career win rate for R. Downey. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Here is a key detail that sets Morbeh apart: it is the only horse in this field who has actually won over today's distance of 1m 2f. That directly relevant experience matters, even if it has never raced on normal ground before. A fourth-place finish just 20 days ago at Doncaster keeps it in decent trim heading into today.
Only winner at this distanceNever raced on normal ground
+A 9-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
+J. & Thady Gosden has won 21.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
−J. & Thady Gosden wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Veritable has the longest absence in the field — 122 days off the track — which makes it a real unknown today. It has never won in three attempts and has never raced on normal ground, so there are multiple unknowns to navigate on its return. The trainer, John & Thady Gosden, is a respected name, but the data here is thin.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)Absent 122 days (longest in field)
+A 24.3% win rate at this course for H. Eustace. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
−Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
One of the highest-rated horses in this field, Menzies won on debut and has form across just three races — so there's still plenty unknown about it. Crucially, it has never raced on normal ground like today's conditions, which is a genuine question mark. Lightly raced and still learning, this could go either way.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)
+Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
−Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Royal Standard arrives here on the back of a win at Wolverhampton 25 days ago and looks in decent nick. Like several others in this field, it is lightly raced with just three outings, so there is room for improvement — but it has never raced on normal ground, which introduces some uncertainty today. One to respect rather than fear.
+S. & Ed Crisford wins 31.8% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
−Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Six races and still no win — Toastmaster is the horse that keeps finishing in the places without sealing the deal. It has never raced on normal ground before, and with no wins to its name it is hard to make a strong case for it here against several rivals who have already won. Honest, but needs to find more.
+Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
−The jockey has not had many recent rides, so there is little recent form to go on.
TrackLab Insight
With 13 races under its belt, Zipwire is by far the most experienced horse in a field where the average is just five races — and it has been in red-hot form, winning three on the bounce at Wolverhampton. The concern is that all of that course form comes on the all-weather surface at Wolverhampton, not on turf at Brighton, so today is a very different test. A genuine contender, but stepping into new territory.
+Finished 0th in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
−Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
TrackLab Insight
Joyful Lawyer is the lowest-rated horse in the field by seven pounds, carries the lightest weight, and has raced just once — making it the biggest unknown here. With one race to its name and no wins, there simply is not enough data to build a case for it in a competitive nine-runner field. The story has barely started.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on normal groundLightly raced (1 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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