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Ayr

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Ayr
Awaiting result
Jumps race · low hurdles Underrated horse: Lance Les Des About 2 miles Unknown Standard race 12 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Largy Go
J. O'Neill Jr · J. & A J O'Neill · 5yo · 11st 6lb
£1 wins 80p · 50 Very strong chance
J. & A J O'Neill's horses finish 26.9% of their races
Freshness Form
50
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 4/5
£1 wins 80p · 50 Very strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.80 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Jockey overall win rate ✓ Draw position
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • J. & A J O'Neill's horses finish 26.9% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • J. O'Neill Jr has won 15.1% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Trainer in form Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • N. W. Alexander's horses finish 40% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Has had 21 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
  • A 12-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • A. Nicol's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • A. Nicol wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • D. McCain's runners finish 60.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • B. Hughes wins 16.9% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 51.4% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 51.4% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • A 12-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • D. McCain's horses finish their races 60.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
  • Came 9th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • R. Mike Smith's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • R. Mike Smith wins only 7.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • R. Mike Smith's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • A 7.1% record at this course for R. Mike Smith. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • N. C Kelly's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Mr O. McGill wins 16.1% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • Finished 14th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.

How odds work
Trainer in form Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • E. Whillans's runners finish 100% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • 19 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
  • Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's runners finish 51.4% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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