Ayr
·
Ayr
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Jirko
Underrated horse
£1 wins £250 · 41 Very strong chance
N. W. Alexander's horses finish their races 40% of the time
41
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 250/1
£1 wins £250 · 41 Very strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £251.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. W. Alexander's horses finish their races 40% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- An 11.9% career win rate for N. W. Alexander. That is below the top trainers.
£1 wins £1.75 · 37 Strong chance
L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish their races 51.4% of the time
37
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.75 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish their races 51.4% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- 3 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Only 8th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
£1 wins £7.50 · 22 Strong chance
L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish their races 51.4% of the time
22
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish their races 51.4% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- 3 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore has a 7.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.