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Ayr
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Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Nights In Venice About 3 miles Unknown Entry-level race 6 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Nights In Venice Underrated horse
S. Quinlan · D. Whillans · 10yo · 11st 4lb · Official rating 86
£1 wins £2.75 · 33 Strong chance
D. Whillans's horses finish 50% of their races
Headgear Form
33
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 11/4
£1 wins £2.75 · 33 Strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Fences ✓ Field size
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • D. Whillans's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • This race has 19 to jump, and this horse handles them well. Good jumpers save energy at each obstacle and land running.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's runners finish 51.4% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • This horse jumps the 19 in this race well. In jumps racing, getting over obstacles smoothly matters as much as speed.
  • G. Walkingshaw has a 3.7% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • O. Greenall & Josh Guerriero's horses finish their races 52.2% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • O. Greenall & Josh Guerriero wins 12.7% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • P. Robson's horses finish their races 25% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • With 19 in this race, jumping matters, and this horse is good at it. Clean jumpers gain ground at every obstacle.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Trainer in form Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • N. W. Alexander's horses finish their races 40% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • This race has 19 to jump, and this horse handles them well. Good jumpers save energy at each obstacle and land running.
  • An 11.9% career win rate for N. W. Alexander. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 246 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • R. Mike Smith's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • This race has 19 to jump, and this horse handles them well. Good jumpers save energy at each obstacle and land running.
  • R. Mike Smith wins only 7.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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