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Ayr

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Ayr
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Jumps race · low hurdles Underrated horse: Roses All The Way About 2.6 miles Unknown Standard race 5 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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La Zoubida
S. Quinlan · N. Richards · 6yo · 11st 12lb · Official rating 117
£1 wins 73p · 56 Very strong chance
N. Richards's horses finish their races 69.2% of the time
Trainer Form
56
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 8/11
£1 wins 73p · 56 Very strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.73 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Field size ✓ Race distance
Trainer in form Won 2 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • N. Richards's horses finish their races 69.2% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • This is a 5-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A 16.7% career win rate for N. Richards. That is below the top trainers.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • D. McCain's horses finish 67.9% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • D. McCain has a 14.9% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 53.8% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • L. Russell & Michael Scudamore wins only 7.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • I. Duncan's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • I. Duncan has a 6.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • R. Mike Smith's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • R. Mike Smith has a 7.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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