What gives that improvement extra credibility is how it holds up in tougher conditions. On wet or muddy ground, where horses and trainers who have not done their homework tend to get found out, Tinkler has won 2 from 10 — that is 20%, or 1 in every 5 races. That kind of record in testing conditions points to a yard that knows how to prepare its horses for variety, not just the easy summer days when the ground is fast and the margins are tighter.
The most telling relationship in his operation right now is with jockey Faye McManoman. Across 130 rides together they have combined for 11 wins — roughly 1 in every 12 — and the sheer volume of that partnership tells its own story. When a trainer keeps putting the same jockey up, it is because they trust what they see coming back. McManoman clearly suits the way Tinkler trains, and that kind of continuity tends to pay off as a yard matures.
His standout individual partnership is with Profit Street, though 2 wins from 23 races together reads more as a long-running relationship than a dominant one. That said, a horse that keeps getting entered and keeps getting ridden by the same team is one the yard clearly believes in, and those moments when it delivers will have felt well earned.
Tinkler is not yet a name that stops conversations at racing yards, but the trajectory is hard to ignore. More winners, a higher win rate, a trusted jockey, and a knack for wet ground — four years in, the building blocks are there.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 81 | 8 | 9.9% |
| Redcar | 40 | 6 | 15% |
| Doncaster | 32 | 4 | 12.5% |
| Thirsk | 23 | 2 | 8.7% |
| Southwell | 23 | 1 | 4.3% |
| Beverley | 21 | 1 | 4.8% |
| York | 20 | 1 | 5% |
| Ripon | 14 | 2 | 14.3% |
| Catterick Bridge | 12 | 2 | 16.7% |
| Pontefract | 11 | 0 | 0% |
| Carlisle | 10 | 2 | 20% |
| Nottingham | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Musselburgh | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| Haydock Park | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| chelmsford | 6 | 2 | 33.3% |
| Chester | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Leicester | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Ascot | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Ayr | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Great Yarmouth | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Wetherby | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Wolverhampton | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Hamilton Park | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Bath | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Windsor | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Chepstow | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Kempton Park | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| Newbury | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Salisbury | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Epsom Downs | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| The Curragh | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Goodwood | 1 | 0 | 0% |