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Auspicious

There's a quiet confidence building around Auspicious, a three-year-old trained by Nigel Tinkler at his yard in Langton, North Yorkshire. With 2 wins and 4 places from 9 races — winning roughly 1 in every 4.5 runs — this is a horse that has taken time to find its feet, but is starting to show what those around it always believed was there.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Awtaad
Mother
Kilbaha Lady
Owner
The Dapper Partnership
Rating
52

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
9
Career races
2
Wins
22.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
44.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The first win came at Newcastle on 26 September 2025, and by Tinkler's own admission, it wasn't the deepest race in the calendar. The horse carried a rating of just 19 — extraordinarily low, even by the trainer's own standards, and he's had horses rated as low as 25 before. But here's the thing: a low rating isn't a badge of shame, it's an opportunity. It means the horse gets to race against rivals deemed equally modest, and if you quietly believe your horse is better than that number suggests, you're already ahead of the game. Tinkler did believe it. Auspicious is a homebred, and the trainer knows the family well — he trained the horse's dam, Kilbaha Lady — so when he said the horse had shown more at home than on the track, that wasn't spin. It was patience.

Jockey Alex Jary, speaking to Sky Sports Racing after that Newcastle win, put it plainly: they always thought Auspicious would improve with age, and that day it finally translated from the gallops to the racecourse. That kind of gap between home promise and track performance is more common than people realise, and when it finally clicks, horses can improve quickly.

And improve it has. The most recent win came at Redcar on 7 May 2026 — just three weeks ago — giving Auspicious back-to-back wins across its last six races (form reading 2-1-5-3-7-1 from most recent back). That sequence tells an interesting story: after the early Newcastle win, there was a dip in form before a return to winning ways. The horse raced just yesterday, keeping it firmly in the middle of a busy campaign. Tinkler's yard has hit the ground running this season with 37 winners already sent out, so Auspicious is far from the only string to their bow — but a homebred horse that was once rated 19 and is now winning races is exactly the kind of quiet success story that good yards are built on.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
29 May
2nd
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
7 May
🏆 Won
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
20 Apr
5th
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
11 Mar
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
10 Feb
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
26 Sep
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
6 Sep
16th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 17 runners
18 Jul
7th
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners
31 May
10th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Alex Jary Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 11 Mar 33.3%
Redcar
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 7 May 50%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 second 29 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Sep 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 31 May 0%