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Auspicious

There is something quietly satisfying about a horse that takes its time to show what it can do. Auspicious is a 3-year-old trained by Nigel Tinkler at his yard in Langton, North Yorkshire, and for a while it looked like the horse might never translate its ability onto a racecourse. It had shown promise at home — enough to keep the team interested — but the track told a different story. When it finally won at Newcastle in September 2025, jockey Alex Jary was candid about it on Sky Sports Racing: the horse had always been more impressive at home than in public, and he was just relieved it had finally clicked. Tinkler added his own honest footnote: it was not the strongest race, and Auspicious had been given an unusually low rating of 19 — lower than anything Tinkler had trained before — which told you exactly how little the horse had shown up to that point.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Awtaad
Mother
Kilbaha Lady
Owner
The Dapper Partnership
Rating
53

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
11
Career races
2
Wins
18.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes the background interesting is that Auspicious is a homebred, and Tinkler trained its mother, Kilbaha Lady, too. There is a particular satisfaction in watching a horse you have followed from its dam's racing days finally come good, and that first Newcastle win, modest as the occasion was, carried that extra layer of meaning for the yard.

Since then, Auspicious has built a career record of 2 wins and 4 places from 11 races — winning roughly 1 in every 5 or 6 outings, which is a decent return for a young horse still finding its feet. The second win came at Redcar in May 2026, a couple of months ago now. With Alex Jary in the saddle, the numbers are noticeably sharper: 2 wins from their 6 races together means they have clicked at a rate of 1 in 3, which is a meaningful partnership worth watching. Tinkler's yard has been in good form this season, sending out 37 winners, and Auspicious raced just yesterday, so it is very much a horse in active use. Recent form reads 6-10-2-1-5-3 — the win and a second tucked in among some tougher days — which is the profile of a horse that can perform when conditions suit but remains inconsistent. At three years old, that is not a flaw so much as a fact of life.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Jul
6th
Leicester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
20 Jun
10th
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
29 May
2nd
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
7 May
🏆 Won
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
20 Apr
5th
Redcar
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
11 Mar
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
10 Feb
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
26 Sep
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
6 Sep
16th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 17 runners
18 Jul
7th
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Good · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Alex Jary Current Jockey
33.3%
Win rate
2/6
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 11 Mar 33.3%
Redcar
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 20 Jun 33.3%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 31 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 second 29 May 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Jul 0%