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Newmarket

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Air Charter Services "Confined" Handicap (For Horses Which Have Won No More Than One Race)
Starts in
3h 24min
Speed race · horses carry weights to make it fair About 7 furlongs Mostly firm ground Standard race 11 runners £15462 prize E/W: 4 places, 1/5 odds
TrackLab's Top Pick
24
Strong chance
Super Value at 21/5
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
20+ Strong pick 12-19 Solid chance 6-11 In the mix Below 6 Outsider How scores work
R. Moore · E. Dunlop · 3yo · 9st 8lb · OR 79
Jockey Form
24
Super Value
Jockey in form (7 wins in 14 days) Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the only horse in the field with Ryan Moore in the saddle, who has been riding in fine form — winning nearly 1 in 3 races over the past two weeks. He ran fourth at this exact course just 18 days ago, beaten by only a length, which suggests he's close to winning. The concern is he's never raced on dry ground, so today's conditions are an unknown.
Never raced on dry ground Best record at this trip (1 from 3) Jockey in best form (7 from 24 last 2wk) Market favourite (4.8)
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R. Ryan · O. Burrows · 3yo · 9st 5lb · OR 76
Freshness Trainer
19
Fresh (292 days off) Trainer in form Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
The longest absentee in the entire field — he hasn't raced in nearly ten months, which is a significant amount of time off for any horse to overcome, let alone one still searching for a first win. His best effort was a second place at Lingfield nearly a year ago, and nothing since has built on that. Hard to trust on comeback after such a long absence.
Lightly raced (3 career races) Absent 292 days (longest in field)
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M. Ghiani · S. Williams · 3yo · 9st 8lb · OR 79
Form Track
15
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Drew the low stall (number 2), which is the most favourable part of the track at this course and distance based on historical results. He ran third at this course just 18 days ago, beaten by only half a length, so he's clearly going well and course form is solid. Like several rivals, he's never raced on dry ground, which adds a small question mark.
Never raced on dry ground Lightly raced (3 career races)
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T. Marquand · W. Haggas · 3yo · 9st 11lb · OR 82
Class Freshness
14
Good Value
Dropping in class Fresh (183 days off) Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in the race by 3lbs, which suggests the official assessor thinks this is the classiest horse in the field — but there are real questions to answer. She's never raced on dry ground and hasn't run in six months, and her last outing was an 11th-place finish at this very course in a much higher-class race. A step back down in class helps, but the layoff and unknown ground conditions make her a risk despite the talent.
Top rated by 3lbs Steps up 2 classes Never raced on dry ground Lightly raced (3 career races)
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O. Murphy · A. Balding · 3yo · 9st 4lb · OR 75
Jockey Form
9.5
Jockey in form (6 wins in 14 days) Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The editorial verdict picks her as the one to beat, and it's easy to see why — she won at Kempton just 31 days ago and arrives here in form while several rivals are returning from long breaks. The one caveat is that today's dry ground at Newmarket is new territory, as all her racing to date has come on different surface conditions. Oisin Murphy, one of the best jockeys in the country, takes the ride and has been winning regularly lately.
Never raced on dry ground
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M. Sheehy · A. Paul Keatley · 3yo · 9st 8lb · OR 79
Headgear Form
6.4
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Has been fitted with cheekpieces, a piece of equipment designed to sharpen a horse's focus — often a sign the trainer is trying something different to spark an improvement. Recent form has been poor though, with a distant ninth last time out, and he's never raced on dry ground. His best performances have come at shorter distances than today's seven furlongs.
Never raced on dry ground Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
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5 Splash
T. Greatrex · D. Ivory · 3yo · 9st 7lb · OR 78
Freshness Form
4.2
Fresh (192 days off) Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Hasn't won in three races and hasn't been seen on a racecourse for over six months, which are two straightforward obstacles to overcome today. She does have the low draw (stall 1), the most favourable position on the track here, and her second-place finish at this course last autumn shows she can handle Newmarket. Both her jockey and trainer have drawn a blank in the past two weeks, which doesn't add confidence.
Never raced on dry ground Lightly raced (3 career races)
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S. Osborne · C. Johnston · 3yo · 8st 5lb · OR 62
Freshness Jockey
4.2
Fresh (183 days off) Jockey in form (6 wins in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the race and is rated 12lbs below the field average — the least fancied on official ratings in the entire field. She's been off for six months and has never won in three races, though she has at least finished in the top four every time she's run. Saffie Osborne, who has been in fine form lately, takes the ride which gives this some small interest.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average Carries lowest weight in field Never raced on dry ground Lightly raced (3 career races)
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J. Dace(5) · P. Neville · 3yo · 8st 6lb · OR 63
Form Distance
2.2
Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance — 12 races compared to an average of 5 for her rivals — yet she's rated 12lbs below the field average, suggesting the extra experience hasn't translated into improvement. She's also 0 from 5 on dry ground, which is exactly what she faces today, and her jockey has never ridden her before. The editorial notes she's interesting back up in trip, but the evidence for optimism is limited.
Most experienced (12 runs, field avg 5)
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R. Dawson · D. Cunha · 3yo · 9st 2lb · OR 73
Freshness Form
1.5
Quick turnaround Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Races again after just five days, which is a very quick turnaround — he was ninth at Lingfield less than a week ago. The positive is that the data shows he actually has a decent record at today's distance of seven furlongs, winning 1 in 3 races at that trip, which stands out in his profile. At 42-1 though, the trainer hasn't had a winner in 19 attempts over the past two weeks, making it hard to be enthusiastic.
Runs again after just 5 days
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G. Wood · J. Macey · 3yo · 9st 3lb · OR 74
Form Track
0.7
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Finished 11th at this course just 18 days ago, beaten nearly seven lengths, and that followed a 16-length defeat before it. The most experienced horse in the race after Paroda Diva, but the form has gone the wrong way and at odds of 41-1 the market has made its view clear. His strongest form has come at shorter distances than today's seven furlongs.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
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