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Limerick

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Boyle Sports Jt Mcnamara Munster National Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
Starts in
4h 48min
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair About 3 miles Slightly soft ground 18 runners £60,000 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, 3rd or 4th, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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40%+ Very strong chance 20–39% Strong chance 12–19% Solid chance 6–11% Could surprise Under 6% Long shot How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 169 days off Won 2 of last 5 Won here 1 time Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs)
Why this score
  • J. Gainford has won 9.5% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A course winner here with a 19% career record and consistency across finished in the top 3 finishes, but 169 days away and two fifth-place finishes at Cheltenham in his last recorded starts suggest declining form. The soft-ground record remains blank, leaving question marks despite steady class credentials at 17/2.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has raced 4 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • D. Kenneth Budds has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
One of the few runners with a genuinely soft-ground problem: zero wins from five starts in these conditions despite a 19% career win rate overall. The recent second at Listowel and earlier win at Tramore show he races regularly, but soft ground has shut him out consistently, making this a difficult spot despite his class.
One of the more successful in the field (5 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 220 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A Cheltenham Class 2 winner still competing at the highest level, but 195 days away and pulled up at Fairyhouse is stale form for a 12% career win rate. His one soft-ground win suggests the ground isn't entirely against him, but the long absence and lack of recent evidence make him a thin proposition.
Among the more experienced (24 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 169 days off Won 1 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
At 6/1 alongside Bossofthebrownies, this six-year-old brings a 25% career win rate and a course-winning record of two from four at Limerick — genuinely strong evidence for this race. She's just back from 169 days away, but recent activity and Limerick form give her traction as the only other horse at the favourite price with soft-ground comfort.
Course specialist (2 wins from 4 here)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 266 days off Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 6/1 with an unusual strength: one win from just three starts on soft ground (33%), rare comfort for a horse that has never raced here before. Yet his overall record is alarming — one win from 11 races — and a 266-day absence raises practical questions about race sharpness, despite ten top-3 finishes suggesting enough consistency to compete.
Never raced on soft ground Market favourite (6/1)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A course winner with soft-ground wins (one from four) and specific strength over 1m6f–2m distances, but only a 9% career win rate across 22 races tells the larger story. The recent 5th and fall at Listowel are thin foundations, and at 22/1, the market reflects his hit-or-miss profile.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • An experienced horse with 43 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
  • J. P. Broderick has a 3.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
A 10-year-old with 43 career races but only four wins and zero from nine starts on soft ground — the opposite of what this race demands. A Kilbeggan specialist who won there recently, but the soft-ground blank and 10/1 price underline that today's conditions are poorly suited to him.
Among the more experienced (43 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 336 days off Won 2 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • With a 9.5% win rate overall, S. Ewing is one of the more dependable riders.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 23% win rate looks attractive, but soft ground has blanked him entirely: zero wins from five starts in these conditions, a critical flaw in a 239-day absence. His Galway record and work with jockey Ewing (40% together) provide some foundation, yet the ground weakness and time away at 10/1 make this a risk.
Among the fancied runners (10/1)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Back after 221 days off Won 3 of last 5 Won here 1 time Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • Has won 3 times over this distance. That is a good sign the race length suits the horse.
  • 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Top rated by five pounds and proven at three miles on wet ground, where he wins almost half his races over jumps. His Cheltenham record — three wins from seven visits to one of racing's toughest venues — stands out sharply in a field where most runners lack that pedigree, though 221 days away and odds drifting to 22/1 suggest the market has concerns about his readiness.
Top rated by 3lbs Best record at this trip (3 from 4)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
An 11-year-old with soft-ground form that reads as a serious issue here: zero wins from five starts on exactly these conditions, and a pulled-up run just 25 days ago. He has won at Limerick before, but the soft turf and his age conspire against him; his record on yielding ground is strong, but that's not today's test.
Has won over this course and distance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Back after 79 days off Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • Has raced 5 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • A 4.3% record at this course for P. John Gilligan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
One of only a few course winners here but carries a damning soft-ground blank: zero wins from four starts in these conditions, and he pulled up at Listowel just 25 days ago. A recent Galway win shows he can still fire, but the course form and the ground leave him exposed at 19/1.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Won 2 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • An 18-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field at 33% from nine races — a genuinely strong record — but 11th at Listowel 25 days ago is a red flag, and her only career soft-ground start has no win recorded. She won here five months ago, giving her a live Limerick reference, but recent form and ground conditions work against her at 25/1.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 156 days off Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A genuine soft-ground specialist with two wins from three starts in wet and muddy conditions — rare form in this field — but he unseated three weeks ago at Galway and has only one recent win (Kilbeggan 156 days back). The ground plays to him, yet the unseat and 33/1 pricing reflect recent inconsistency.
Outsider at 33/1
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Wins 20% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • A 14.9% win rate at this course for G. Elliott. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • This is an 18-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Built for soft ground with three separate soft-condition wins and a 10% overall record from 29 races, but his last win came three years ago and he pulled up twice in the last nine months. The ground and distance suit him, yet age and the lack of recent edge at 20/1 suggest he's a horse in decline.
Among the more experienced (29 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 545 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Has won over this distance 1 time. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
  • 18 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Away for 510 days — the longest absence in the field by a distance — and zero top-3 finishes in nearly two years make this a comeback that demands proof. The soft-ground record (one win from four) is encouraging, but the 33/1 price and dead weight form suggest this horse is well-priced where the market has finished in the top 3 it.
Absent 510 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • Rated 122 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
  • T. Kelly wins 2.7% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lightest weight and boasts two soft-ground wins from six starts (33%), the rare form edge here, yet recent outings at Killarney and Galway have seen him beaten 30+ lengths on the rebound. At 40/1, the 57-day layoff and recent heavy defeats make him a gamble despite the ground and weight advantages.
Carries lowest weight in field
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