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A Wave Of The Sea

There is a pleasing stubbornness about A Wave Of The Sea. Forty-one races into a career, still active at ten years old, still finding ways to be competitive — this is not a horse that does things the glamorous way, but it is one that keeps turning up. Three wins and nine places from those 41 outings works out to a win rate of around 7%, or roughly 1 in every 14 races, which tells you this is not a horse built to dominate. What it is built for, however, is Kilbeggan.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
10 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Born To Sea
Mother
Je T'Adore
Owner
John P McManus
Rating
119

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
41
Career races
3
Wins
7.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
22.0%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That tight, undulating track in the Irish midlands seems to suit A Wave Of The Sea like almost nowhere else. Two wins from seven races there — nearly 1 in every 3 starts — is a remarkable return for a horse that struggles to win anywhere at all. The most recent of those came as recently as September 2025, which shows there is still life in the legs. Wet and muddy ground brings out something extra too: 2 wins from 13 races on soft ground works out to 15%, more than double the overall average. When the rain comes and the track gets heavy, this horse becomes a different proposition.

The partnership with jockey Simon Torrens, however, has yet to click. Eleven races together, zero wins — a partnership that has produced plenty of effort but no reward so far. Trainer J P Broderick's yard has sent out just 2 winners this season, so this is a small operation without the firepower of the big stables. What they do have is a horse that knows its job and keeps presenting itself at the track. The quotes attributed to Joseph O'Brien from earlier in this horse's career paint a picture of something uncomplicated and honest — a horse that, when the jumping was right and the blinkers went on, could produce a serious performance on a big occasion.

Six races without a win now, with recent finishes reading 17th, 4th, 14th, 12th, 5th, and 7th — none of those are encouraging. The Class 1 races have yielded nothing from three attempts. But the Kilbeggan record is real, the soft ground form is real, and the fact this horse raced just one day ago tells you everything about its durability. At ten, with modest recent form and a small yard behind it, expectations should be measured — but written off entirely? That seems premature for a horse that has made a habit of surprising people.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on yielding ground: 2 wins from 13 starts (15%)
Excellent record on good_to_yielding ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Navan in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Jun
7th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 14 runners
15 May
5th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
10 Apr
12th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 17 runners
1 Feb
14th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 23 runners
18 Jan
4th
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 14 runners
27 Dec
17th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 31 runners
16 Nov
8th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 20 runners
5 Sep
🏆 Won
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 8 runners
9 Aug
3rd
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 8 runners
25 Jul
🏆 Won
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/11
Won / Rode
Charlie O'Dwyer Current Jockey
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Aidan Kelly
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr D Doyle
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kilbeggan
Tight
7 2 wins, 1 third, 4 other 15 Jun 28.6%
Leopardstown
Galloping
7 1 win, 2 thirds, 4 other 1 Feb 14.3%
Navan
Galloping
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 16 Nov 0%
Limerick
Galloping
3 1 second, 2 other 22 Oct 0%
Listowel
Sharp
3 3 other 20 Sep 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
3 3 other 14 Mar 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
3 3 other 1 Jul 0%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 2 Aug 0%
Aintree
Galloping
2 2 other 9 Dec 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Dec 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 other 10 Apr 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Jun 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Feb 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 other 8 May 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 other 18 Jan 0%