Limerick
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Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle
Starts in
3h 48min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- An official rating of 102 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Humble Brag is the market favourite at 11/2 but has never raced on soft ground, which is a critical gap given today's conditions. He won just once in seven races (at Cork 161 days ago) and has struggled recently, with only one top-3 finish in his last six outings. He fell at Listowel 25 days ago and has a poor record on good-to-yielding ground (0 from 3), suggesting his single victory may have been on a fast surface that doesn't suit the soft.
Never raced on soft ground
Market favourite (11/2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- D. King wins 8.9% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- G. Scott wins only 4.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Way Down South is an Underrated horse and carries the standout marker of a course winner with one victory at Limerick, plus a recent win at Tramore just 10 days ago that proves current form. The data shows a critical issue: he has no wins from five tries on soft ground and no wins from five tries on good ground either, making today's soft conditions a direct weakness despite his immediate sharpness. His excellent record on yielding ground (2 from 4) does not translate to pure soft.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 7.5% win rate overall, E. Walsh is one of the more dependable riders.
- Rated 102 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Tell Me See is a 5-year-old winless after five races who has never tackled soft ground, placing him at a significant disadvantage today. His recent form shows consecutive 3rd-place finishes at Listowel and Kilbeggan, but then a drift to 5th, 8th, and 9th that suggests the improvement has stalled. He has no wins and his form trajectory is moving in the wrong direction.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- There is little recent data for J. J. Slevin. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
- This horse is happy on Good To Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Zambezi Moon won once in four races but has struggled for the past six months, with three poor finishes in his last four outings. The 2nd at Listowel 23 days ago offers a glimmer, yet the form trend is downward and the win rate of 25% is flattered by a single Cork success back in April. He's rated 111 but the evidence suggests he may be overextended at this level.
2nd highest rated (OR 111)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Kennedy has won 17.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Rated 109 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
- 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Cool Native is winless under rules after four races, though she won a point-to-point before joining Gordon Elliott's yard, suggesting latent ability. She has never raced on soft ground and has only two top-3 finishes in four outings, most recently a 3rd at Downpatrick 96 days ago. The 96-day gap is considerable given her light record, and soft ground remains uncharted territory.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- With a 12.2% win rate overall, M. Walsh is one of the more dependable riders.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Beckistine is winless from 12 races with just a single place to show for his efforts—a seven-year-old who struggles to compete at his current level. His form has deteriorated sharply over recent outings, with no finishes better than 4th in his last six runs, and he pulled up at Down Royal 271 days before his most recent race. He is a horse with very limited prospects.
Winless from 12 career races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. Healy wins 28.6% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
St Lawrence's Well has won just once in eight races and has never tackled soft ground, which is a significant concern given today's conditions at Limerick. The hood suggests the trainer sees nervousness as an issue, and recent form shows just one top-3 finish in the last six runs—the 3rd at Clonmel 17 days ago. A poor record on good ground (0 from 3) adds to the doubt, even at 12/1.
Never raced on soft ground
£1 wins £16 · 6% chance
Very little experience on today's ground
6%
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- An average finish of 0.7 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
- 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Galavanting George carries an Underrated label and has never won in eight races, yet his recent form shows a run of 2-3-4 that hints at a horse edging closer to competitive performances. The 161-day gap since his last race is a concern, but the jockey-trainer combo boasts a strong 167-win record together, offering some reassurance. At 22/1, the value tag suggests the market may be underestimating his chances.
Mid-range in the market (22/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An experienced horse with 50 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- Has an official rating of 102. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Crowsatedappletart is the editorial selection and the standouts tell a compelling story: he is a Limerick specialist with 4 wins from 12 here, has won over this course and distance before, and brings the most experience in the field with 50 races. He is rated 102 (level with the field average) and has won roughly 1 in every 6 races overall. However, he pulled up at Cork just 7 days ago and has no wins from six tries on heavy ground—soft conditions remain unproven for him at this track.
Course specialist (4 wins from 12 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (3 from 9)
Most experienced (50 runs, field avg 13)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- E. McNamara wins 6.9% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Jaadil is a 5-year-old mare who has won just once in 18 races and is rated 93, below the field average. She has never raced on soft ground and her win came over a year ago at Cork; recent form shows a 5th at Listowel 24 days ago but mostly poor results including a fall. At 14/1, the market is pricing in her experience, but soft ground is uncharted territory for her.
Among the more experienced (18 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has an official rating of 100. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Ann Bulkley is lightly raced with just three career starts, all resulting in finishes outside the top-3 finishes (5th, 4th, 4th). She has never raced on soft ground and has been absent 161 days, returning as a 4-year-old with no evidence of ability at this level. The absence is long and the record is uniformly poor, making her an outsider in an 18-runner field.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Has an official rating of 110. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Boston Rajj is an 8-year-old who has won just once in 17 races and hasn't found the line since June 2025—16 months in the past. He has no wins from four tries on yielding ground and struggles on right-handed galloping tracks like Limerick, which directly undermines his chances here. At 20/1, his excellent record on good ground is irrelevant when the track is soft.
Among the more experienced (17 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- An official rating of 94 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Coolboy Christy is winless after 15 races with just one place finish and is rated 94, well below the field average. He has never raced on soft ground and was beaten 36.2 lengths at Killarney just 14 days ago, showing no signs of form entering today's test. At 33/1, he carries minimal appeal.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- An official rating of 105 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Hello Jack pulled up at Listowel just 24 days ago and remains winless after 11 races, despite four top-3 finishes suggesting he can stay close to the action. His recent form is inconsistent—two 3rd-place runs mixed with a 6th and 8th—and the pull-up is a red flag heading into a test of stamina over 2m 4f on soft ground. At 40/1, the market has written him off for good reason.
Winless from 11 career races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- An official rating of 104 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Pakens Rock is a 13-year-old who has won 4 times in 26 races and brings an excellent record on yielding ground (1 from 3), though that is not quite the same as soft. He is a Kilbeggan specialist with 3 wins from 9 there, but today's course is Limerick and his last three runs—9th, 4th, 7th—show a horse past his best days. At 50/1, he is a very long shot despite the editorial mention.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Finished 0th in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Lep Around has been absent for 213 days—the longest gap in the field—and returns as an 8-year-old with just one win from 13 races. She has an excellent record on soft-to-heavy ground (1 from 3), which offers some comfort, but her form drifted badly before the break and that absence raises serious questions about readiness. At 40/1, the lay-off is a major concern.
Absent 213 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Rated 94 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Fenian Maxios is a relatively inexperienced 5-year-old with just six career races and no wins, though he did finish 2nd at Tramore 10 days ago before pulling up in that same race. His record shows two top-3 finishes but also a 12th-place result beaten over 102 lengths at Cork, suggesting massive inconsistency. At 80/1, he represents a very long shot.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 4.3% win rate at this course for P. J. Rothwell. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- 2m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Minority Interest won his only race at Gowran Park in October 2025 but has never raced on soft ground, which is a clear concern given today's conditions. He has finished 5th at Limerick before (210 days ago) but recent form shows just one top-3 finish in six outings and a poor record on good-to-yielding ground (0 from 4). The 161-day gap since his last race is also a drawback.
Never raced on soft ground