Limerick
·
Irish Wire Products (C & G) Maiden Hurdle
Starts in
3h 18min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40%+ Very strong chance
20–39% Strong chance
12–19% Solid chance
6–11% Could surprise
Under 6% Long shot
How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance, as a percentage. The scores in a race add up to 100%.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in a place. It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
£1 wins £2 · 30% chance
H. de Bromhead has won 13.2% of their races in their career
30%
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 30% chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. de Bromhead has won 13.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Global Submission has been absent 659 days (the longest in the field) after running just once, when he finished second—tantalisingly close but no win to show for it. Trained by a high-class yard (Henry de Bromhead has 106 winners this season), he represents a complete unknown at this stage after such a long absence.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 659 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.63 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 0th last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite has finished in the top 3 in all three of his races (two seconds and one unrecorded finish), never winning but finishing close enough to suggest he's competitive at this level. The Gordon Elliott–Jack Kennedy combination is prolific (355 wins together), and three finishes in the top 3 shows consistency, though he's yet to break through for a win.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Market favourite (15/8)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- Has an official rating of 113. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- A 2.7% career win rate for T. Kelly. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Approval has won twice from 16 races (12% win rate), making him the most experienced runner here with proven ability, but his last victory was over two years ago and he's never raced on soft ground. His recent form shows two finished in the top 3 finishes in the last two outings, but he'll be meeting the track conditions for the first time.
Never raced on soft ground
Most experienced (16 runs, field avg 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6.9% overall win rate for E. McNamara. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Today's ground is Good To Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Dreams Delight has one race to his name, finishing fourth 28 days ago, and trains at a yard (E McNamara) already sending out 22 winners this season—a sign the stable is in form. He's never encountered soft ground and has minimal evidence to work with, but the trainer's hot streak is a positive signal.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Byrnes has won 12.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Set to carry 166 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A Boy The Kid hasn't raced in 413 days and has never won from two career starts—both on faster ground than today's soft surface. The return after such a long absence from a horse with no form makes this a genuine fresh start with heavy uncertainty attached.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 5.3% overall win rate for P. J. Rothwell. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Set to carry 166 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
- A 4.3% record at this course for P. J. Rothwell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
No Loose Ends makes his racecourse debut at an unusually late age (five years old), suggesting he may have needed extra time to mature or develop. The Elusive Pimpernel–Act One pedigree hints at racing ability, but his first run will be genuinely revealing.
Racecourse debut
2%
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Elliott has won 15.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- G. Elliott has a good 14.9% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Northern Silence debuts for Gordon Elliott's yard, which has sent out 210 winners this season—the highest win rate of any trainer in the field. By Crystal Ocean out of a Presenting mare, the pedigree promises stamina, but he's unproven and debuts are always unpredictable.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
- Today's ground is Good To Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- Miss M. Harding has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Bog Cross is an eight-year-old making a racecourse debut—unusually late in life, which raises questions about what has delayed his introduction to racing. The Malinas-Flemensfirth pedigree suggests jumping ability, but we have no evidence of what he can do under race conditions.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's ground is Good To Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- P. Enright has a 6.2% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
Gold Star Status ran once and finished seventh, beaten 28 lengths—one of the heaviest defeats in the field—with no evidence of what he's capable of beyond that poor outing. He's never tried soft ground and his sole appearance suggests he may be out of his depth here.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A 3.3% win rate at this course for N. Lee. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Came 10th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
TrackLab Insight
Leva Eagle finished 14th just 41 days ago, beaten 52 lengths, making this the worst form line in the entire field by distance. The trainer-jockey combination has zero wins from 37 races together, and nothing in the record suggests a turnaround is imminent.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Byrnes has won 12.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Carrying 166 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Marian Place has been off the track for 320 days after finishing seventh in his only outing, and he's never raced on soft ground. The C Byrnes yard is in form with 26 winners this season, but the long absence and poor debut form present real questions.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 4.9% overall win rate for J. Joseph Murphy. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 4.9% career win rate for J. Joseph Murphy. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Papanell finished third and fourth in his previous two outings but has collapsed badly since, finishing 10th, 15th, and 13th in his last three runs—a dramatic and unexplained decline. Five races without a win and only one place suggests he's struggling to find a consistent level.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. A. Fahy wins 6.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- R. Condon wins 4.7% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Robbie Diamonds has run three times without a win or place finish, most recently 15th at Punchestown just 162 days ago, showing zero improvement across his outings. At just four years old he still has time, but the downward trend (15th–6th–7th) and lack of any top-3 finishes is concerning.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- P. J. Rothwell has won 5.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Mr R. Sugrue wins 3.1% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Storm Bresie makes his racecourse debut with no prior form to assess, trained by P J Rothwell who has won just once from four races with this jockey combination. The Blue Bresil–Jukebox Jury pedigree carries racing blood, but a debut is always a lottery and odds of 66/1 reflect genuine uncertainty.
Outsider at 66/1