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Hereford

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Hereford
Awaiting result
Bumper · flat race for young jumps horses Underrated horse: One Dimensional About 2 miles Unknown Entry-level race 14 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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T. Bellamy · A. King · 5yo · 11st 2lb
£1 wins £2 · 29 Strong chance
A. King's runners finish 38.5% of their races
Freshness Form
29
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 29 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Jockey wins at this course ✓ Trainer wins at this course
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A. King's runners finish 38.5% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A 19.5% win rate at this course for T. Bellamy. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
Dropping to an easier race Wearing hood Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • M. Comley's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • M. Comley wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 71 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • M. Bowen's horses finish their races 83.3% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Came home 2nd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • M. Bowen has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 431 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • H. Daly's horses finish 66.7% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • An 18% win rate at this course for H. Daly. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 80 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • C. Longsdon's runners finish 46.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A 21.4% win rate at this course for D. McConville. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • E. Lavelle's horses finish 55.6% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • An 11.6% overall win rate for B. Carver. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • F. O'Brien's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • T. George's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
  • Mr T. M O'Brien has a 0% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • H. C Knight's horses finish their races 55.6% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • H. C Knight has a good 30% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
  • This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Jockey in form (1 win in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • T. Symonds's horses finish their races 33.3% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Has raced here 1 time without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
  • B. Poste wins 3.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 152 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • D. Killahena & Graeme McPherson's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A 12.6% overall win rate for N. Slatter. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • M. Comley's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • Miss A. Jones wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • S. Gardner's horses finish 20% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • A 2.4% career win rate for L. Gardner. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £501.00 back.

How odds work
Dropping to an easier race Wearing hood Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • R. Phillips's horses finish their races 40% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • R. Phillips has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.