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Hereford

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Hereford
Awaiting result
Jumps race · low hurdles · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Jack The Savage +1 About 3.2 miles Unknown Entry-level race 6 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Welcheston Warrier
N. Fox · C. Boultbee-Brooks · 6yo · 12st 0lb · Official rating 94
£1 wins £2.50 · 33 Strong chance
C. Boultbee-Brooks's horses finish their races 71.4% of the time
Headgear Form
33
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 5/2
£1 wins £2.50 · 33 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Race distance ✓ Field size
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • C. Boultbee-Brooks's horses finish their races 71.4% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A 3m 2½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • L. Horsfall's runners finish 66.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Today's race is over 3m 2½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • L. Horsfall wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing blinkers Back after 87 days off Won 1 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • H. Daly's runners finish 66.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Today's race is over 3m 2½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • Has won 2 times at this course from 5 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • S. Mullins's horses finish their races 12.5% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Today's race is over 3m 2½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • D. Sansom wins 4.2% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 697 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • S. Lewis's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • A 4.4% record at this course for S. Lewis. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Back after 767 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A 3m 2½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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