Hereford
·
Hereford
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 9/4
£1 wins £2.25 · 30 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. King's runners finish 38.5% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- 1 win from 2 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
Gower Spirit
Underrated horse
£1 wins £3.50 · 25 Strong chance
M. Sheppard's horses finish 40% of their races
25
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Sheppard's horses finish 40% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- J. Bowen wins 16.4% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- J. Bowen wins only 16.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Celtic Queen
Underrated horse
£1 wins £14 · 15 Solid chance
T. Vaughan's runners finish 57.1% of their races
15
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Vaughan's runners finish 57.1% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- T. Vaughan has a 7.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Ralph's runners finish 27.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Came 9th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Land Girls Luck
£1 wins £8.50 · 9 Could surprise
M. Comley's horses finish their races 50% of the time
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Comley's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Has not raced for 151 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
- Miss A. Jones has a 0% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Lacey's horses finish 60% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Last raced 15 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
- C. Iles wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Good prize money on offer. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- 2m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Faulkner's horses finish 81.8% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- T. Worsley has a 3.9% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.