Hereford
·
Hereford
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 2/1
£1 wins £2 · 28 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. King's horses finish 41.7% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Ellis's horses finish 66.7% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- T. Ellis wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Seamoon Story
Underrated horse
£1 wins £5 · 25 Strong chance
C. Longsdon's horses finish 46.7% of their races
25
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Longsdon's horses finish 46.7% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- A 21.4% win rate at this course for D. McConville. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Owen's horses finish their races 61.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- J. Bowen has won 16.4% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Mullins's horses finish 11.1% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- C. Pritchard has won 12% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Comley's runners finish 55.6% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- M. Comley wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- E. Lavelle's runners finish 55.6% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
£1 wins £200 · 1 Long shot
N. & Willy Twiston-Davies's horses finish their races 48% of the time
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. & Willy Twiston-Davies's horses finish their races 48% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- Only 13th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
£1 wins £1000 · 1 Long shot
The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The prize money suggests a competitive race that has attracted decent horses, and this one belongs among them.
- 2m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Rowley's horses finish their races 69.2% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- M. Dodd wins 27.3% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Harris's horses finish their races 33.3% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
- G. Harris has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £301.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. Bridgwater's horses finish their races 100% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
- D. Bridgwater wins 16.7% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Only 8th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Lewis's runners finish 50% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
- S. Lewis has a 4.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.