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Hereford

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Hereford
Awaiting result
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Bective Abbey About 3.1 miles Unknown Standard race 4 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Bective Abbey Underrated horse
J. Bowen · N. Henderson · 8yo · 12st 1lb · Official rating 121
£1 wins £1.25 · 53 Very strong chance
N. Henderson's runners finish 71.4% of their races
Freshness Form
53
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 5/4
£1 wins £1.25 · 53 Very strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.25 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Fences ✓ Race distance
Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • N. Henderson's runners finish 71.4% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • This horse jumps the 19 in this race well. In jumps racing, getting over obstacles smoothly matters as much as speed.
  • N. Henderson wins 20.0% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 87 days off Won 2 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • W. Greatrex's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 3m 1f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • Has won 1 time at this course from 1 run. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Dr R. Newland & Jamie Insole's horses finish their races 50% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A 3m 1f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • An 11.6% career win rate for Dr R. Newland & Jamie Insole. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 369 days off Won 2 of last 5
Why this score
  • T. Lawes's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • This race has 19 to jump, and this horse handles them well. Good jumpers save energy at each obstacle and land running.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.