UK time :

Cheltenham

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Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Starts in
13h 32min
Jumps race · low hurdles · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Idaho Fire About 3 miles Good ground High-level race 19 runners £19,061 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, 3rd or 4th, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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J. O'Neill Jr. · J. & A.J. O'Neill · 5yo · 10st 9lb · Official rating 127
£1 wins £2.75 · 25 Strong chance
With a 15.3% win rate overall
Class Headgear
25
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 11/4
£1 wins £2.75 · 25 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.

How odds work
✓ Jockey overall win rate ✓ Race distance ✓ Jockey wins at this course
Stepping up to a harder race Wearing cheekpieces Back after 177 days off Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • With a 15.3% win rate overall, J. O'Neill Jr. is one of the more dependable riders.
  • A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 7/2 and carries the 'Very underrated' label—the model rates him higher than the price suggests. Only five career races means limited data, but he drops two classes from his usual level and has never raced on normal ground, so conditions are genuinely unknown territory.
Drops 2 classes from usual level Never raced on normal ground Market favourite (7/2)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 196 days off Won 1 of last 5 Won here 1 time Likes this ground (wins 40% of runs)
Why this score
  • D. Skelton has won 18.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • Handles this ground well, with 40% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
  • 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Wins roughly one in every three races—the best career record in the field—and Harry Skelton boasts a 45% win rate with him. However, a 196-day absence is concerning, and his last two outings (8th at Aintree, 13th at Cheltenham) suggest he has lost fitness since his January win at Huntingdon.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.

How odds work
Stepping up to a harder race Back after 90 days off Won 2 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 67% of runs)
Why this score
  • Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • J. Burke has won 12.0% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the 'Underrated' label and has the best record on good ground (2 wins from 3 starts at 67%), with three straight top-3 finishes and both recent wins at Worcester and Uttoxeter suggesting peak form. However, only six career races means limited exposure, and he has no wins from three starts on good-to-soft ground.
Drops 2 classes from usual level Best record on this ground (2 from 3) 3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 192 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
  • A 20% win rate at this course for K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Wins roughly one in every three races and has the best record at this distance (2 from 6), but both recent results at Haydock and Cheltenham are missing from the record, making it impossible to assess his current form. A 192-day gap with no clear picture of what's happened in between is problematic.
Best record at this trip (2 from 6)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 226 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Results are getting better with each run. A horse on the way up has a good chance of a win soon.
  • With a 15.8% win rate overall, S. Twiston-Davies is one of the more dependable riders.
  • 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 8lbs and a course-and-distance winner, but the 21st-place finish here 226 days ago is a huge red flag after such a long absence. Sam Twiston-Davies brings proven expertise in the saddle, yet one win in 25 races is a modest return from a horse carrying the most weight in the field.
Top rated by 8lbs Has won over this course and distance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 177 days off Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Wins roughly one in every three races and finished in the top 3 in 2 of the last 3 outings, but a 177-day absence leaves real questions about readiness. The 12th-place finish at Cheltenham last time out (226 days ago) is the only solid form reference, and it was poor.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 238 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field at 238 days is a serious red flag, and a 10% win rate (roughly one in 10 races) is the worst here. Only one win from 10 career races and just one top-3 finish in his last six outings suggest this is a horse struggling to find form.
Absent 238 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Last raced 47 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
  • 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated but the data shows a horse built for soft ground and long distances—he wins 80% of his races on good-to-yielding ground, yet has no wins from 8 starts on yielding. The mystery result at Curragh 9 days ago makes recent form unclear, and Cheltenham is a sharp, galloping track where he has no wins from 5 attempts.
2nd highest rated (OR 138)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • Its average finish over the last three runs is 2.7. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
  • A 0% record at this course for G. Nicholls. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Only eight wins from 24 races—one of the poorest records in the field—and despite two second-place finishes in his last three outings, his overall win rate is rough. A new jockey-trainer combination with no recorded history together adds another layer of uncertainty.
Mid-range in the market (25/1)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Stepping up to a harder race Wearing tongue strap Won 3 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 29% of runs)
Why this score
  • Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • A 3m race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
In red-hot form with four wins in six races, and drops two classes from his usual level—a significant advantage. Won twice from three visits to Uttoxeter this season, but his record on yielding and good-to-yielding ground (0 wins from 6 starts) is a real concern on a course that can ride softer.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 118 days off Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • With a 21.3% win rate overall, H. Cobden is one of the more dependable riders.
  • This is a 19-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 67% win rate on heavy ground makes him genuinely dangerous if the track rides muddy, but the ground here is normal—and his record on softer conditions is poor (0 wins from 4 starts). An 8th place at Uttoxeter 118 days ago with a 63-length beating suggests he is well out of form.
Outsider at 33/1
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 26% of runs)
Why this score
  • 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Today's ground is Good, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
  • A 0% record at this course for R. Menzies. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Seven career wins and one of the more successful in the field, running recently (6th at Hexham 14 days ago) so fitness should be sound. However, a 20% win rate means he wins roughly one in five, and a recent sixth-place finish suggests he is well off the pace right now.
One of the more successful in the field (7 career wins)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 189 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
  • Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Wins 50% of her races on good-to-soft ground but has failed to win from nine combined starts on good or soft ground, making her a horse that needs conditions just right. A 189-day absence with limited recent form is a major concern, and the unseated rider fall 253 days ago suggests jumping issues remain unresolved.
Mid-range in the market (25/1)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Stepping up to a harder race Wearing visor Won 2 of last 5 Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Wins 20% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • G. Sheehan has won 16.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
Drops two classes from his usual level and has won three of his last six races, including a victory at Stratford just 19 days ago, so form and readiness are clear strengths. His 50% win rate on good-to-firm ground suits this track, but soft ground has brought zero wins from three attempts.
Drops 2 classes from usual level 3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 173 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • B. Jones wins 15.8% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • Wins 25% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • A 19-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Wins more than one in every four races and has competed at the highest level, yet drifted from 50/1 to 80/1 despite a solid rating—the market clearly doubts him. A pull-up at Uttoxeter 118 days ago and two fourth-place finishes before that paint a horse struggling to stay competitive.
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 63 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 29% of runs)
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
  • D. Hitchins has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field and wins 29% of her races on good ground, which suits her better than most. However, a 13% overall win rate (roughly one in eight) is modest, and she has no wins from 11 starts on faster or softer ground—a significant weakness on a turf track where conditions shift.
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • Last raced 36 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
  • A 0% record at this course for C. Honour. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
At 10 years old with 27 career races, he brings experience, yet a 15% win rate (roughly one in seven) is modest and has worsened recently—a 4th place at Newton Abbot 36 days ago was his best effort in months. He has never won at Cheltenham or Haydock in 10 combined attempts, a clear pattern of weakness.
Among the more experienced (27 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has raced 5 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • Has an official rating of 115. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
  • T. Symonds wins only 4.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Both career wins came at Huntingdon, but he fell at Chepstow 14 days ago and has no wins from six starts on good ground—a fundamental weakness at a fast, dry course. Only two wins from 17 races overall (12%) is a thin record, and recent form shows a 6th place and fall, not progression.
Mid-range in the market (28/1)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 184 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • 3m is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Has not raced for 184 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
  • 19 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse in the field, 12lbs below average, with only two wins from 25 races (8% win rate)—among the poorest records here. A 184-day absence after a 6th-place beating at Perth, followed by two more sixth-place finishes, shows a horse well past any meaningful form.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.