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Cheltenham

·
Masterson Holdings Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Starts in
14h 42min
Jumps race · low hurdles Underrated horse: La Luna Artista About 2 miles Good ground High-level race 7 runners £21,784 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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6 North Shore
H. Skelton · D. Skelton · 4yo · 11st 0lb · Official rating 135
£1 wins £2.50 · 26 Strong chance
A 7-runner race works well for this horse
Headgear Form
26
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 5/2
£1 wins £2.50 · 26 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.

How odds work
✓ Field size ✓ Horse record at this distance ✓ Trainer overall win rate
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite with a proven Cheltenham base behind him via Dan Skelton's powerful operation, but his recent form is concerning: a fourth-place finish at Chepstow just two weeks ago was a disappointing return after a five-month absence. He's never raced on standard ground before, which is a genuine unknown at a track like Cheltenham where conditions matter.
Never raced on normal ground Market favourite (11/4)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.

How odds work
Stepping up to a harder race Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • With a 15.1% win rate overall, B. Hughes is one of the more dependable riders.
  • 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • A. Keatley has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
He steps down two classes to where he has a perfect record — three wins from three at Class 4 — which is a significant pointer after struggling in stronger company recently. The seven-length defeat at Market Rasen four weeks ago looks forgettable; what matters is he knows how to win at this grade.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • A 7.7% record at this course for F. Bramley. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin, yet he carries the heaviest burden: a winless record from ten races despite three top-3 finishes. His recent form has deteriorated sharply — two consecutive sixth-place defeats by wide margins — which makes the rating look increasingly detached from what he's actually delivering on the track.
Top rated by 12lbs
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 182 days off Won 3 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A 2.2% record at this course for Mrs J. Williams. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
A stunning 60% win rate from just five races puts her in rare company at this level; most horses win roughly one in five or six outings, and she's winning one in two. She's been away since early March but arrives fresh off a Class 1 win at Kempton, and the fact she's lightly raced means there's genuine unexplored potential here.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • H. Derham has won 21.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • Carrying 162 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
  • Has won here 1 time in 4 visits. That record at this course is a good sign.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field with proven form at Cheltenham and over 2m, though he arrives fresh after a narrow loss at Salisbury. His win rate of roughly 1 in 3 races looks solid on paper, but he has never won on standard ground (0 from 4) and that's a real problem here — this is where his record falls apart against rivals who handle these conditions.
Only course winner (1 from 4 here) Has won over this course and distance Best record at this trip (3 from 6)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Stepping up to a harder race Won 1 of last 5 Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • An official rating of 121 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
  • This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A 0% record at this course for B. Francis Cawley. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
An experienced operator with 27 races under his belt, he's strung together three consecutive top-3 finishes and drops two classes here where he belongs. His 11% win rate tells you he rarely wins (roughly one in nine), and his poor record on standard ground (0 from 3) is a significant weakness in a field where conditions suit others better.
Drops 2 classes from usual level Best record on this ground (2 from 14) Most experienced (27 runs, field avg 10) 3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.

How odds work
Stepping up to a harder race Back after 189 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Finished 10th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with just two runs under her belt and no wins or top-3 finishes to her name, she's been absent nearly six months and returned with a tenth-place finish yesterday. The data is too thin to read much into her potential, and stepping down two classes suggests the yard see the need for an easier task — but the recent evidence gives little reason for confidence.
Drops 2 classes from usual level Lightly raced (2 career races) Absent 189 days (longest in field)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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