Cartmel
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Furness Rda Handicap Steeple Chase
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 4lbs and favourite at 4.3, but the form is brittle—two thirds in his last three races, both heavy defeats. The real problem here is the track: he's winless on soft ground (0 from 3) and has never won on left-handed galloping tracks like Cartmel (0 from 6), which is a fatal combination for this race.
Top rated by 4lbs
Market favourite (4.3)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection has concrete credentials: course winner at Cartmel with a 21% record there (3 wins from 14 races), and a 40% win rate on soft ground (2 from 5)—the only horse built for these exact conditions. Recent form is poor (8th and 7th at Cartmel), but the underlying strength in soft ground and this track makes him the most logical play despite the driftng odds.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (3 from 8)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2024
"He ran in a lot of chases in France. He's not very big but has loads of scope. He won a hurdle at Cartmel in the summer and has had another run since, but we're going to keep our powder dry for the spring and summer. He'll be going to Perth and Cartmel and we'll be trying him over fences, which could be his job. 14-02-24"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced horse in the field (48 races) and just won at Worcester 12 days ago, giving him genuine momentum with three straight top-3 finishes. The killer blow is his record on soft ground: zero wins from 9 starts, which rules him out completely on today's conditions.
Most experienced (48 runs, field avg 24)
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Only horse in the field with a winning record on this exact ground (1 from 4), and she's built for distance at 2m 2f. The massive concern is the 130-day absence—longest layoff in the field by far—which leaves real doubt about her sharpness after six months away.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Absent 130 days (longest in field)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"She's starting to get the hang of it. It was a good run last time at Catterick when second to a well-backed winner and she should take a bit of beating next time. She's set to go to Bangor a week on Saturday. 13-03-26"
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at 25%, but he's fragile—three pull-ups in his last four races and never raced on slightly soft ground, which makes backing him today a leap of faith. At 8.5 odds and drifting hard, his recent record of failure outweighs what looks good on paper.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
TrackLab Insight
Course specialist at Cartmel (3 wins from 14 races) carrying the lowest weight, but he just raced there 2 days ago and finished 7th, which is exhausting for any horse asked to turn around this quickly. The 17% career win rate is solid, but back-to-back Cartmel runs in four days is a red flag.
Carries lowest weight in field
Runs again after just 2 days
TrackLab Insight
Lowest rated in the field at 79, winless at Cartmel in 5 attempts, and a 4% career win rate that speaks for itself. Running again just 2 days after finishing 10th suggests desperation rather than a real winning opportunity.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
Runs again after just 2 days
TrackLab Insight
Nine years old with zero wins from 23 races—he's run at Cartmel five times without winning. The name is ironic; this is a horse that should be retired, not asked to compete in a 2m 2f handicap chase.
Winless from 23 career races
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