Cartmel
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Fgh Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
King Roly is the only horse in the field to have won recently, landing a race at Worcester just 12 days ago, and he carries genuine credentials with 6 career wins from 20 races (30% win rate). However, he has zero wins from 3 starts on good-to-soft ground, which is a significant red flag for today's conditions and undermines what looks on the surface like a strong recent run.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"There's a novice handicap chase at Perth at their three-day festival next month that he'll go for. He's really well and I'm hoping he'll keep on improving throughout the late spring and summer months. I'm sure he could be one of ours to go for the Summer Plate at Market Rasen. 26-03-26"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Sean Og is the only course winner in the field with an extraordinary record at Cartmel—5 wins from 12 races there—and he's won twice in his last three outings at this exact track, including 44 days ago. He's also the only horse in the field to have won over this course and distance, making him genuinely dangerous despite carrying a 42-1 wider record and struggling elsewhere.
Course specialist (5 wins from 12 here)
Only winner at this distance
Has won over this course and distance
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)
TrackLab Insight
Jack Sprat is the lowest-rated runner by a significant margin, 18 pounds below the field average, and has posted a modest 11% win rate from 28 races. However, he's a genuine course regular at Cartmel with form reading 3-2-9 in his last three outings here, suggesting he's competitive at this level despite the unflattering statistics.
Lowest rated, 18lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He's one of those consistent handicappers who always wins his races. It didn't quite happen for him over fences last year, but he appreciated going back over hurdles when a good second at Bangor. 05-11-25"
Sep 2023
"Yet to win, but he made the frame in a bumper and has been placed over hurdles. He has been backward but is improving and, consequently, could be well handicapped to get off the mark. 28-09-23"
TrackLab Insight
Pour Les Filles is the editorial pick and has a standout record on soft ground—winning 2 of 3 races when the turf is wet, which matters given today's slightly soft conditions. He's placed in 2 of his last 3 races and has won roughly 1 in 5 overall, but the concern is he's never won on good-to-soft ground specifically, and the odds have drifted significantly from 1.02 to 8.5, suggesting market doubt.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
Trainer Quotes
Mar 2026
"When we bought him off Gordon Elliott he said he's got loads of ability. Davy Russell also said he's got bags of it and probably should've won the Aintree bumper (2023) on him. He is hard to keep right, but won very well for us the first day at Ffos Las in January, and he seemed 100 per cent. We thought he'd go and do something similar at Newbury next time, but he wasn't right there or at Ayr. We're getting him ready for Aintree and if he turns up on form, he'll run a right race. 26-03-26"
Oct 2025
"It hasn't been straightforward for him and he missed most of last season. He won a small race at Downpatrick, but he didn't get home over three miles at Cheltenham on Friday. He'll come back in trip now. 26-10-25"
TrackLab Insight
Karnaval Point has the best raw win rate in the field at 50%—winning 2 of 4 races—but comes here having never raced on slightly soft ground and just finished a distant 6th at Uttoxeter 36 days ago. His recent form has turned patchy, and the step up in class to this competitive field makes him a risky proposition despite the impressive headline figures.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
Passengerontheship has the best recent form in the field—5 wins in his last 6 races—and boasts the strongest overall win rate at 31%, but he's on a knife-edge here because he has zero wins from 5 starts on good-to-soft ground, which directly matches today's conditions. That one fatal flaw in an otherwise in-form horse makes him dangerous but unreliable in this specific race.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
TrackLab Insight
Bleu D'Enfer is the most experienced runner with 30 career races but has won just once in his life, and his record on this ground is dire—zero wins from 6 attempts on good-to-soft and zero from 11 on soft. At 12.0 odds and with a 3% career win rate, the editorial verdict ranking him second-best looks generous, and the slightly soft conditions play against every pattern in his form.
Among the more experienced (30 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Cossack Chach is the biggest outsider at 15.0 and hasn't run for 71 days after pulling up on his last two outings, making the form picture unclear. With just 2 wins from 12 races (17% win rate) and limited recent data, he's a gamble without obvious credentials for a competitive Class 3 race.
Outsider at 15.0
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