Wearing visorWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Experienced six-year-old with 37 career races, but alarming pattern at Cartmel specifically: three recent runs here (10th, 8th, 6th) show consistent struggle, and he's got zero wins from both soft and good-to-soft ground—the exact conditions he'll face today. Ground and recent form both point firmly against him.
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won here 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Ten-year-old with genuine credentials for this race: he's won over Cartmel's 2m 6f distance before, holds a 40% win rate on soft ground (2 wins from 5), and a 29% record on good-to-soft (2 from 7)—ideal form profile for today. Running just two days after his last race here means minimal fitness question, though the quick turnaround is unusual.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (2 from 7)Best record at this trip (3 from 6)Runs again after just 2 days
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2024
"We bought him at the sales in the summer and I quite liked the look of him but he didn't have the best of reputations, so he only cost £1,500. We thought we'd try to have some fun with him and he's been a little revelation - it's great to still be able to buy a cheap horse and win races. He won at Cartmel on his first start for us and then bolted up at Kelso. We ran him on ground too soft back there last time. He'll have a campaign through the spring and summer, maybe starting off at Perth and then doing the Cartmel tour. 14-02-24"
The only horse in the field with a genuine course win in recent weeks—won at Cartmel 42 days ago—and boasts the best career win rate here at roughly 1 in 5 races. However, the form sandwiching that win is alarming: two enormous defeats at Worcester and Perth suggest he may be a one-track specialist rather than a reliable performer.
This eight-year-old is running as well as he ever has with three straight top-three finishes, including two wins in his last four races—but here's the catch: he's got zero wins from three starts on soft ground and zero wins from five starts on good-to-yielding ground. Slightly soft conditions are exactly what he dislikes most.
Top rated by 7lbs over most rivals, but the worrying truth is buried in the odds: he's drifted from 1.02 to 2.76, suggesting the market knows something about his credentials that raw rating doesn't capture. Just three career races means minimal evidence he can handle this step up in a competitive field on slightly soft ground.
O. Brown(5)
·
A. Keatley
· 8yo
· 11st 6lb
· OR 107
HeadgearForm
6.8
Wearing visorWon 0 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced runner in the field with 49 career races, but current form is patchy—fifth and ninth at Market Rasen in his last two outings—and critically, he's got zero wins from seven starts on soft ground, which counts heavily at Cartmel today. The editorial view has merit on his fitness edge, but his recent record and ground concerns are real obstacles.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
At 13 years old, this horse has earned respect through decades of consistency, but the data here is brutal: zero wins from seven starts on good-to-soft ground, and zero wins from five starts on left-handed galloping tracks like Cartmel. Unfancied at 25-1 odds despite a high rating—the market is right to be cautious.
L. Noreci(7)
·
J. Moffatt
· 4yo
· 10st 6lb
· OR 97
HeadgearFreshness
2.2
Wearing tongue strapFresh (113 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Four-year-old filly returning after 113 days away—the longest absence in the field—which is a serious fitness concern for a hurdle race over 2m 6f. Never won in five career races despite three placings, and the long layoff makes finding winning form here a tall order.
Five-year-old stepping into uncharted territory: he's never raced on slightly soft ground, so this is a genuine unknown. Last run was a heavy defeat (8th, beaten 27 lengths) at Ballinrobe 41 days ago, and his record on good ground is also a concern—zero wins from three starts suggests firm conditions suit him better.
Four-year-old who's never raced on slightly soft ground, so today is a genuine unknown on this going. Recent form includes a win at Cartmel 64 days ago, but she's delivered two poor efforts around it (7th and 4th), suggesting inconsistency rather than a horse building momentum into this race.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.