Cuzco Du Mathan

The wider numbers tell a more modest story. Across 20 races in total, Cuzco Du Mathan has won 3 and placed 4 times — that is a win rate of roughly 15%, or 3 in every 20 races. At the level he typically runs, Class 4 races, he has won just 1 from 14, which is where the picture gets a little complicated: a horse that can win but has found it difficult to do so consistently at his usual grade. His recent form — finishing outside the top three in five of his last six races — reflects that plateau, and his last win came at Cartmel in August 2024, now 21 months ago.

One factor that could change things is the ground. On wet or muddy going, Cuzco Du Mathan is a different horse altogether, winning 2 from 5 races — that is 40%, which is a remarkable conversion rate at any level. Moffatt has spoken about the horse having run extensively in France before arriving at the yard, and while he is not physically imposing, he was described as having plenty of scope. The trainer has also hinted that fences — rather than hurdles — could yet prove to be his calling, which at eight years old leaves open the possibility of a fresh chapter.

Charlotte Jones has ridden him in 8 of his 20 races, winning once from those, and the partnership continues. With 11 winners sent out by the yard this season, Moffatt is in decent form, and if Cartmel comes up wet this summer, do not be too surprised if Cuzco Du Mathan reminds everyone exactly what he is capable of on his home patch.