UK time :
Live Upcoming 22 Results

Carlisle

·
Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Starts in
11h 3min
Jumps race · big fences About 2 miles Unknown High-level race 3 runners £26,015 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.

2 Cristal d'Estruval
P. O'Brien · H. Derham · 5yo · 11st 0lb · Official rating 137
£1 wins 91p · 50 Very strong chance
A 66.7% win rate at this course for H. Derham
Class Freshness
50
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 10/11
£1 wins 91p · 50 Very strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.91 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer wins at this course ✓ Event type ✓ Field size
Stepping up to a harder race Back after 330 days off Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A 66.7% win rate at this course for H. Derham. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
  • Has been off the track for 330 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
Only two races under his belt but one is a win—a 50% win rate that would turn heads in any yard—and he's now stepping down from Class 4 to easier company. The real gamble here is the 330-day layoff; returning after over a year out is a substantial ask, and there's no form to assess how much ring rust he carries into this race.
Drops 2 classes from usual level Lightly raced (2 career races) Absent 330 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back after 212 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • This is a 3-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A 25% win rate at this course for T. Durrell. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • D. Skelton wins only 19.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Top rated by 10lbs and the market favourite at 1/1, this seven-year-old has finished in the top three in 13 of his 14 races—remarkable consistency let down by only two wins. He's at his best over 2m distances (25% win rate) and on good-to-soft ground (22% win rate), which suits this track, but a 212-day absence and poor record on soft ground are genuine concerns if conditions deteriorate.
Top rated by 10lbs Best record at this trip (1 from 8) Market favourite (1/1)
Trainer quotes
Feb 2096
"He has some high-class novice form and this will be his first time in a handicap over fences, which I think will be interesting in the Grand Annual. 17-02-96"
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • 3 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • J. O'Neill Jr. wins 24% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
At nine years old, this mare is by far the most experienced runner in the field with 34 races and a 15% win rate, but she hasn't won since January 2025 and has struggled badly in recent attempts (beaten 44.5 lengths just 25 days ago). She does have form on good-to-soft ground and handles this track, but current shape suggests she's running out of time to find the winner's circle again.
Most experienced (34 runs, field avg 16) Best career win rate in field (1 in 7)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Carlisle today ?