Carlisle
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Racing TV Maiden Hurdle Race (Go North Night Nurse Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Starts in
9h 42min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 13/8
£1 wins £1.63 · 26 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.63 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. Richards has a good 22% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 7/4 after winning on debut at Kelso just three days ago, with a trainer (Nicky Richards) firing out winners at an impressive rate (33 this season). Only one race makes this a small sample, but the timing and confidence behind him are notable.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Market favourite (7/4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- T. Durrell has a good 25% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- D. Skelton wins 19.6% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A 50% win rate (1 win from 2 races) looks outstanding, with a Class 2 victory at Exeter in February 2024 suggesting genuine early ability. However, he has been absent for 746 days and is stepping up two classes — a combination of long-term absence and a big step in grade makes this a high-risk return.
Steps up 2 classes
Only winner at this distance
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Absent 971 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With £5,446 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 31 races, Tyson Fury won at Dundalk just 24 days ago and is stepping up two classes here. His record shows a specialist on standard ground at specific courses; moving to a turf hurdle at Carlisle with tight ground conditions takes him well outside his proven niche.
Steps up 2 classes
Most experienced (31 runs, field avg 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 10.6% overall win rate for N. W. Alexander. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- There is £5,446 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A five-year-old with only one career race to his name — an unseated rider fall at Ayr nine days ago. With virtually no form to work with, there is nothing concrete to suggest he is ready to strike here.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 24% win rate at this course for J. O'Neill Jr.. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- An 18.8% win rate at this course for J. & A.J. O'Neill. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Making his racecourse debut at four years old — a late start that suggests the yard has taken time to let him mature. No form to assess, so this is entirely a gamble on breeding and patience paying off.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- D. McCain wins 15.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 15.1% overall win rate for B. Hughes. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old stepping onto the racecourse for the first time under Brian Hughes and Donald McCain — a stable combination with an excellent record (264 wins from 1,288 races). Pedigree looks solid (by Walk In The Park), but debuts are always a shot in the dark.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
- Today's ground suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old making his racecourse debut, arriving with solid breeding (by Soldier Of Fortune) but no evidence of what he can do on track. Like the other debutants, he remains an unknown quantity.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 30.8% win rate at this course for H. Cobden. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- D. McCain wins 15.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Finished eighth on his only outing 248 days ago and has been away from the track for nearly eight months, with wind surgery on his record. Returns to action with very little to recommend him at this stage.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Its average finish over the last three runs is 3. That is steady. Horses that finish near the front often do so again.
- M. Hammond has won 9.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
This horse is knocking hard on the door with three top-3 finishes from four races, including back-to-back seconds at Kelso. At 40/1, he remains winless after four attempts, but the consistency of finishing in the frame suggests a breakthrough could be imminent.
Outsider at 40/1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 22% win rate at this course for N. Richards. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- J. Power wins 33.3% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A five-year-old who raced just a day ago and finished 12th at Carlisle last month, extending a poor recent run. Lightly raced with only three career outings, Dilrisk has one top-3 finish but no wins and no clear form to inspire confidence here.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £36.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- A 12% overall win rate for J. England. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in the field at 1 in 5, but stepping up three classes from his last outing and showing a 22-month gap since his only victory. Recent form shows a struggling horse (7th, 6th, 14th), making this a tough ask despite the earlier promise.
Steps up 3 classes
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A 15.4% win rate at this course for A. Wilson. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A. Wilson wins 4% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
A five-year-old with just one race under his belt — a disappointing eighth at Sedgefield 22 days ago. One race is barely enough data to draw any real conclusions about his ability.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Hamilton has won 8.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- There is £5,446 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old running again after just seven days, coming off a poor ninth-place finish at Southwell and an eighth at Carlisle before that. His only bright spot is a third-place finish six months ago; recent form is deeply discouraging.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Runs again after just 7 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Todhunter has won 9.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- C. Bewley has won 6.7% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This is a 15-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old racecourse debutant from a yard (Martin Todhunter) that has already sent out nine winners this season. The trainer's hot form is a positive signal, but the horse itself remains untested on the track.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Todhunter wins 9.6% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- An 11.6% overall win rate for R. Mania. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old filly with nine races and no wins, showing just one top-3 finish across a mediocre recent record (6th, 4th, 9th in the last three). At 50/1, she has limited evidence to suggest she can break through in this company.
Outsider at 50/1
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.