Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesLoves this ground (45% win rate)Won at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
The only course-and-distance winner in the field with 10 wins from 50 races (20% win rate)—significantly more experienced than the field average of 25 races. His 45% win rate on soft ground (5 from 11) and proven Beverley record make him the standout, though the high draw (7) offers no advantage.
Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (5 from 11)Best record at this trip (3 from 7)Most experienced (50 runs, field avg 25)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2025
"He's an absolute star, a real dude. I've won with him nine times. A bit like Yanifer, you can't really get horses above the age of four who improve, but they both have. He was rated 63 the first time I won with him and he won the Carlisle Bell off a mark 80 in June. I remember when we first had him and he won three, I thought “Oh God, we aren't going to win any with him next season.” Then he won four the next year. There's a chance he'll go to Ayr with Yanifer or go for a Chester seller, which sounds brutal but I don't think anyone will bid £40,000 for him. He's just a little weed with a heart the size of a dustbin lid. 17-09-25"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Won at Ayr in Class 2 but has zero wins on soft ground (0 from 3) and zero on good-to-soft (0 from 4), making him fundamentally unsuited to today's conditions. Recent 2nd at Pontefract shows he's in form, but his ground profile is all wrong for this race.
Among the more experienced (32 career races)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2024
"He's a nice colt by Cracksman who's had only one run, finishing fifth at York. We like him and you'd think he'll be a middle-distance horse. 23-04-24"
C. Whiteley(5)
·
D. O'Meara
· 6yo
· 9st 8lb
· OR 84
FormGround
12.7
Won 0 of last 5Loves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick arrives on an upward curve with form reading 7-5-10, though that hides the fact he's been beaten just 2.8L and 3.5L in his last two races. A Pontefract specialist (75% win rate there) with a proven soft-ground record, he's the only runner equipped to handle both the conditions and this course—the high draw (12) is his only real concern.
Mid-range in the market (11.0)
Trainer Quotes
May 2026
"He won again at Pontefract last month - he likes it there - and was then overfaced a touch at York last time in the Hambleton. He could progress again, though. 27-05-26"
Top-rated on figures but stepping up two classes after flopping at Goodwood and Newmarket recently—13th and 11th finishes tell the real story. He's won at the highest level (Class 1 at Newmarket twice) but struggles on good-to-soft ground and hates left-handed galloping tracks like Beverley, making him a dangerous favourite in name only.
Steps up 2 classes
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"He has a huge amount of ability but might not be entirely straightforward, and we might look to drop him back to six furlongs. Hopefully, he can turn into a horse for something like the Lennox, with the dream of getting him to France for the Foret. 14-04-25"
Second in the market (5.0) but stumbling badly lately: 10th at Newcastle, 8th at Sandown, with only a 2nd at Epsom breaking the pattern three months ago. A mile is his distance and he suits 7f-1m perfectly, but he has zero wins on good-to-soft ground and hates left-handed galloping tracks—wet Beverley plays right into his weaknesses.
2nd in the market (5.0)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"I'm delighted with him and we've taken a very speculative punt and stuck him in the Derby. He had only two runs last year, winning his maiden at Epsom and then finishing fourth in a Group 3 at Deauville in August. He went for another novice at Wolverhampton last week because he wasn't qualified for a handicap mark and was third. We might look at a Derby trial for him. If he cuts it at that level then brilliant, but if not we'll take stock and rebuild him, but we're very excited about him and he's been training really well. 02-04-25"
Best win rate in the field at 23% (3 from 13 races), and crucially she has won all three of her races on good-to-soft ground—a 100% record that makes her tailor-made for this test. An 80-day absence is a concern, but her wet-ground pedigree is unmatched among these runners.
Fresh (310 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (27% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Returning after 310 days away—the longest absence in the field by a significant margin—making his current fitness a major question mark. When active, he showed 27% wins on soft ground and suits 7f-1m, but a near-year-long lay-off after a 9-year-old season is a red flag no recent form can overcome.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Won here 57 days ago but flopped 18 days ago at the same track (5th, beaten 4.2L), and he has zero wins on soft ground across three attempts—a crippling weakness given today's conditions. This horse needs fast, dry ground to show his 33% win rate on good ground; wet Beverley is his worst-case scenario.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (25% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Won just 11 days ago at Carlisle and has placed in 2 of his last 3 races, showing genuine recent momentum. With a 29% win rate on good-to-soft ground and 25% on soft, the conditions suit him perfectly—he's one of the few runners built for this track and ground combination.
Winless in 57 days and has never raced on wet ground, making him a significant unknown here. A 7% win rate across 14 races tells you this is a horse struggling to find his level, and eight weeks away from the track adds another layer of doubt to an already modest profile.
Three straight top-3 finishes mask a brutal recent slump: beaten 10.5L and 13L in his last two outings, this horse is drifting in the market (29.0) for good reason. He wins roughly one in five races and loves standard ground, but the wet conditions here and his current form make him a risky proposition despite the rating advantage.
3 straight top-3 finishesUnfancied in the market despite a high rating
Lowest-rated in the field (11lbs below average) with a 7% win rate from 15 races—one win in nearly two years—and he has never proven himself at this level. Carrying the least weight offers minimal compensation for a horse whose recent form reads 7-4-2, all against weaker company than this.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.