Ayr
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite and the standout course specialist in the field — all six of his career wins have come at Ayr, and he won here just seven days ago. He's also the most experienced horse in the race by a distance with 69 races to his name, and his record on dry ground is remarkable: wins from 3 of his 8 attempts at those conditions. At 11 years old he's the oldest runner here, but he's clearly thriving right now and hard to ignore.
Best record on this ground (3 from 8)
Most experienced (69 runs, field avg 31)
Runs again after just 7 days
Market favourite (6.0)
Trainer Quotes
May 2024
"He's been a super horse. When I bought him at the sales I was told I could spend £8k, maybe £10k at a push, and I rang the boys up and said, “I'm going to have to go to full budget for this.” The boys said, “Mike, that's a lot of money for a horse who hasn't run”, and I said “yes, but he's a cracking horse.” He was actually bought with an entry for the Derby. He's now won eight races for us and £121k in prize-money, so it was money well spent. The boys have turned down fairly good offers for him because they wanted to keep racing and having fun with him, which is commendable. He was a good third on his seasonal reappearance at Ayr behind Fiver Friday. He benefited from a racecourse gallop on the track after the Scottish National meeting, which is a fantastic thing and I think that's one of the reasons the Irish horses do so well. 16-05-24"
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The youngest horse in the race at three years old, but he's been competitive from eight races with three placed finishes, including a close second at Nottingham just 18 days ago. He's drawn wide in stall 10, which based on draw data at this course and distance is the least favourable part of the track. Winless so far, but he's running against older, more experienced rivals stepping up in class.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Eleven races into his career and still waiting for a first win, Motawaared has managed just two placed finishes and a recent run of four consecutive sixth or seventh-place finishes that makes grim reading. He drifted sharply in the market despite being rated joint-top alongside three rivals, which tells its own story. Hard to make a case for him finding extra here.
2nd in the market (6.5)
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TrackLab Insight
Back-to-back runner-up finishes in Ireland last month made him look like a horse coming to the boil, but he then finished sixth at Ayr 15 days ago on this same course — so the form doesn't quite travel. His record on dry ground is a blank from seven races, which is a real concern given today's conditions. Jockey and trainer have yet to click together from five attempts, adding another layer of doubt.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
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TrackLab Insight
One of four horses sharing the top rating in a tightly bunched field, Taylormade LAD has shown he can place but his best form came at slightly longer distances than today's mile and a quarter. He wears cheekpieces to sharpen his focus, but his record on normal ground is a blank from three attempts, and today's dry conditions don't obviously suit. A runner-up finish at Carlisle earlier in the season gives him some claims, though the high draw at stall 11 is the worst position on this course.
Mid-range in the market (8.0)
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection, and the distance of today's race — a mile and a quarter — is squarely in his wheelhouse, with an 11% win rate at this kind of trip. He was second at Pontefract just six weeks ago but flopped at this very course 14 days ago, which makes it a harder sell at 13s. With 36 races under his belt he's the most seasoned of the selection bunch, though his record on dry ground is a blank from seven attempts.
Among the more experienced (36 career races)
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TrackLab Insight
The best career win rate in the field — winning roughly 1 in every 9 races — and crucially the only horse here with a proven record over this exact trip, having won once from five attempts at a mile and a quarter. He's back just seven days after finishing sixth at this same course, so the trainer clearly thinks he's fresh enough to go again quickly. The low draw in stall 3 is a small positive on a track where the middle draws hold an edge.
Best record at this trip (1 from 5)
Runs again after just 7 days
Best career win rate in field (1 in 9)
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TrackLab Insight
One of just a handful of course winners in today's field, but her Ayr win came over a different trip and her record on dry ground is a blank from eight attempts — a serious problem on a day like today. Back-to-back third-place finishes at Musselburgh show she's in decent nick, but she's rated 4lbs below the field average and has never won at this track specifically. She's interesting without being convincing.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
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TrackLab Insight
She carries the lowest weight in the field, which gives her a physical edge over rivals, but she steps up two class levels today and that's a significant ask for a three-year-old yet to win from eight races. A near-miss second at Beverley a month ago shows she can compete, but she then finished seventh — beaten eight lengths — at Nottingham 18 days ago. The class jump looks the biggest obstacle.
Carries lowest weight in field
Steps up 2 classes
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TrackLab Insight
A third-place finish at Ayr seven days ago shows he's in fair form, and turning out again quickly at the same course suggests the trainer is happy with him. However, at 10 years old he's carrying a big weight of experience without much to show for it — just 3 wins from 58 races — and his record on dry ground is a blank from eight attempts. Rated 7lbs below the field average, he's one of the outsiders on paper.
Runs again after just 7 days
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TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the race — a full 10lbs below the field average — and she's up against it on today's dry ground, having never won in 16 attempts on anything resembling good conditions. Both her career wins have come on soft or wet ground, which is emphatically not on offer today. She ran well to finish second at Catterick five days ago, but this looks a much tougher test in the wrong conditions.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
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