Falcon Nine
Falcon Nine is a horse that knows how to find the winning post when the conditions align—just not very often. The 6-year-old has won only twice from 44 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 22 outings, but those victories tell a story worth paying attention to. Both came in quick succession last August, at Carlisle and then Musselburgh, suggesting the horse is capable of stringing together form when it clicks. Since then, though, nothing. Fourteen months have passed without another win, and the recent runs read like a study in near-misses: a second place last time out, another second earlier in the string, and mostly mid-field finishes beyond that.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Owner
Ursa Major Racing I Jardine
📊 Key numbers
Career totals for this horse
🔍 Full analysis
Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
What makes Falcon Nine interesting is how narrow the window is for success. The horse loves normal ground—winning 2 of 14 races (14%)—but struggles when conditions shift either way. It also has a clear distance preference, winning 2 of 23 races at 1m1f to 1m2f (9%), which suggests there is a very specific kind of race it suits. At the lower end of the card in Class 6 races, it has won 2 from 15 (13%), which is nearly double its overall win rate. The combination of those factors—right ground, right distance, right level—is not easy to put together.
The partnership with jockey Mohammed Tabti offers genuine encouragement. They have won twice from eight races together (25%), a markedly different story to Falcon Nine's overall record. That 1-in-4 success rate suggests they understand each other. Trainer Iain Jardine's yard at Carrutherstown is clearly firing, with 57 winners this season, and Jardine himself notes the horse was lacking confidence but has found it again. He calls Falcon Nine "a fun horse" and backs it to win again. Fourteen months is a long drought for any horse, but at six years old and still actively racing, Falcon Nine is not finished yet—just waiting for the right race to come around.
⚡ Strengths and risks
What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 14 starts (14%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 9% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 12 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard_to_slow ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Newcastle in 12 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Ayr in 6 attempts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 27 starts
🎯 Where this horse runs best
Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
8 Oct
2nd
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Heavy · 12 runners
1 Oct
2nd
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners
25 Sep
2nd
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
19 Sep
3rd
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
9 Sep
DNF
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good · 20 runners
24 Aug
8th
Musselburgh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
7 Aug
2nd
Musselburgh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 7 runners
27 Jul
2nd
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
20 Jul
2nd
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
6 Jul
9th
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 12 runners
🏇 Jockeys
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
🏟 Course record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last run | Win rate |
|---|
| Newcastle Galloping |
12 |
2 seconds, 2 thirds, 8 other |
1 Oct |
0% |
| Musselburgh Sharp |
6 |
1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 3 other |
24 Aug |
16.7% |
| Ayr Galloping |
6 |
3 seconds, 1 third, 2 other |
8 Oct |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
9 Oct |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
17 Aug |
0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
19 Sep |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
2 |
2 other |
20 Jun |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
9 Sep |
0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
1 |
1 win |
4 Aug |
100% |
| Brighton Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
28 May |
0% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
17 Jun |
0% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
8 Jun |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
6 Sep |
0% |
| Ripon Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
22 Jun |
0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
22 Apr |
0% |
| Beverley Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
17 Jun |
0% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
27 Jan |
0% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
25 Sep |
0% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
29 Sep |
0% |