Toy Soldier
Toy Soldier has won just twice in 28 races—a 7% win rate that tells you this is a horse scrapping for a living in mid-tier racing, the equivalent of a useful journeyman rather than a star. But there is something worth watching here: when the distance sits right and the race sits right, this 4-year-old can find the front. Both wins came over 7 furlongs to a mile, which is its sweet spot—it has won 2 of 14 races at that distance, compared to just 1 from 13 when stretched beyond or shortened below. That is the kind of specificity that makes a horse worth tracking.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
Miss Lucinda V Russell
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
25%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🏁 Next Race
Tomorrow
Hamilton
About 1 mile · Soft, spongy ground · 10 runners
→
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The most recent win came at Leicester on 27 May 2025, over 15 months ago now. Since then, nothing—six races in a row without a victory, though the record shows two second places tucked in there, suggesting the horse still has moments of genuine form rather than just plodding through. Trainer Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore's yard at Milnathort is a serious operation that has sent out 49 winners this season, so Toy Soldier is in a place that knows how to train winners. The puzzle is why this one has gone so long without another, especially given it was still capable enough to run second twice recently.
The partnership with jockey Liam Wright has not yielded a win yet—0 from 5 rides together—and stepping up to Class 4 racing (the better sort of mid-level races) has not worked out either, with 0 wins from 6 attempts there. That suggests the horse's future may lie back in slightly easier company, or perhaps at exactly those distances where it has already proved itself. It is currently active and was out racing just a day ago, so it is still being campaigned hard. Whether it finds its way back to the winner's circle before its career winds down is the question hanging over it now.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 8 starts (12%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 14% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Aug
7th
Musselburgh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 7 runners
20 Jul
8th
Ayr
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
5 Jul
6th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners
30 Jun
2nd
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
19 Jun
2nd
Down Royal
7f – 1m · Soft · 17 runners
12 May
4th
Killarney
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 18 runners
15 Mar
13th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 29 runners
16 Jan
13th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 15 runners
17 Dec
14th
Dundalk
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 17 runners
20 Oct
14th
Gowran Park
7f – 1m · Heavy · 18 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Newmarket Galloping |
3 |
3 other |
20 Jun |
0% |
| Musselburgh Sharp |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
7 Aug |
50% |
| Leicester Sharp |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
27 May |
50% |
| Killarney Sharp |
2 |
2 other |
12 May |
0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
2 |
2 other |
24 May |
0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
20 Jul |
0% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
16 Jan |
0% |
| Down Royal Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
19 Jun |
0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
7 Sep |
0% |
| Cork Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
10 Sep |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
10 May |
0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
20 Oct |
0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
15 Mar |
0% |
| Catterick Bridge Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
24 Jul |
0% |
| Ffos Las Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
14 Aug |
0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
4 Jul |
0% |
| Beverley Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
4 Jul |
0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
15 Mar |
0% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
1 |
1 second |
30 Jun |
0% |