Ayr
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Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap Stakes
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All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Top of the ratings on 63, but the headline stat that stands out is this horse races again just four days after finishing third at Thirsk — a very quick turnaround. It also steps up two class levels today, which is a significant jump, and recent form outside that Thirsk run has been poor with a ninth and a sixth before it.
Steps up 2 classes
Runs again after just 4 days
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Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Like Brash, Golden Havana has never raced on dry ground, so today's conditions are an untested factor for this horse too. The positive spin is three consecutive top-three finishes, and its best record comes over this exact five-furlong trip. A visor goes on today, which suggests the trainer is trying to sharpen things up.
Never raced on dry ground
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
3 straight top-3 finishes
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TrackLab Insight
Brash has never raced on dry ground before, which is a genuine unknown heading into this race. That said, back-to-back placed finishes — including a runner-up at this very course 31 days ago — show real improvement from a horse that looked lost in its first two outings. Currently the market favourite despite that unresolved ground question.
Never raced on dry ground
Market favourite (4.33)
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TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection, and the data backs up why — she has the best win rate in the field, winning roughly 1 in every 7 races, and her only wins and places have all come on dry ground conditions like today. Last run was a fifth at Windsor five weeks ago, but the run before that was a win, and she carries a fitness edge over several rivals who have been off longer.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 7)
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TrackLab Insight
The last three runs make grim reading — eighth, sixth and tenth — and this horse is drifting out to 12/1 in the market. Carrying the lightest weight among the fillies could help, but there's no obvious reason based on recent form to expect a turnaround today.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
Trainer Quotes
Oct 2025
"She's had three runs and has been a bit immature and I'm desperate to get a win out of her this year. She's got her handicap mark now and we'll look to the all-weather at Newcastle for her. 01-10-25"
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TrackLab Insight
Drew the lowest stall number, which matters here — low draws win 12% of races at this course and distance compared to just 3% for high draws, so stall one is a real advantage in a seven-runner sprint. He was beaten just a nose last time out at Musselburgh, showing he's in good form, though it's the first time this jockey-trainer pairing have worked together.
One of the more successful in the field (1 career wins)
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TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated horse in the field, 7lbs below average, and drawn in the worst stall for this course. She also has zero wins from five races on dry ground, which is exactly what she faces today — that record is hard to ignore at 19/1.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
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