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Ayr

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Ayr
Awaiting result
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Ned Tanner +1 About 2.6 miles Unknown Mid-level race 6 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Primoz
D. Fox · L. Russell & Michael Scudamore · 8yo · 11st 2lb · Official rating 122
£1 wins £1.75 · 32 Strong chance
L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 52.2% of their races
Headgear Form
32
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 7/4
£1 wins £1.75 · 32 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.75 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Field size ✓ Race distance
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 52.2% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Has won here 2 times in 3 visits. That record at this course is a good sign.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing cheekpieces Back after 67 days off Jockey in form (5 wins in 14 days) Trainer in form
Why this score
  • N. W. Alexander's runners finish 46.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • 2m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • N. W. Alexander has a 12.0% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • J. Candlish's horses finish their races 40.9% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • A 4.3% record at this course for J. Candlish. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A. Hamilton's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Has had 22 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
  • B. Hughes wins only 21.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £14.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • M. Bowen's horses finish their races 83.3% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
  • S. Fenelon has a 3.9% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back after 732 days off Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • R. Menzies's horses finish 20% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • N. Moscrop wins only 1.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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