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Ayr

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Ayr
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Jumps race · low hurdles · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Kalo Athena About 3 miles Unknown Entry-level race 6 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Coylton King
C. Bewley · I. Duncan · 6yo · 11st 10lb · Official rating 91
£1 wins £3.33 · 27 Strong chance
I. Duncan's runners finish 33.3% of their races
Form Track
27
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 10/3
£1 wins £3.33 · 27 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Class change ✓ Race distance
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • I. Duncan's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
  • C. Bewley has a 9.8% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • J. Moffatt's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 3.4% record at this course for J. Moffatt. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • R. Mike Smith's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • R. Mike Smith has a 7.0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • H. Daly's horses finish 66.7% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • C. Gethings has a 0% win rate at this course. They have not had much luck here. Knowing the track helps, and that is missing.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 64 days off Jockey in form (3 wins in 14 days) Trainer in form Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • N. W. Alexander's horses finish their races 46.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • 3m 0½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • Came 9th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • G. Rutherford's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
  • G. Rutherford wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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