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Ayr

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Ayr
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Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Ballyfort +1 About 2 miles Unknown Standard race 5 runners
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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Netywell
P. Wadge · L. Russell & Michael Scudamore · 9yo · 12st 0lb · Official rating 115
£1 wins £2.25 · 31 Strong chance
L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 52.2% of their races
C&D Freshness
31
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 9/4
£1 wins £2.25 · 31 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Field size ✓ Carried weight
Has won at this course and distance Back quickly after its last run Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Won at this distance 3 times
Why this score
  • L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 52.2% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Has won here 2 times in 5 visits. That record at this course is a good sign.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing cheekpieces Back quickly after its last run Jockey in form (3 wins in 14 days) Trainer in form
Why this score
  • N. W. Alexander's horses finish their races 46.7% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • Only 7 days since the last race. The trainer seems to think the horse is well enough to run again, which is a good sign.
  • A 12.0% career win rate for N. W. Alexander. That is below the top trainers.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • J. Moffatt's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • This is a 5-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A 3.4% record at this course for J. Moffatt. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 126 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • R. Mike Smith's horses finish 0% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • R. Mike Smith wins only 7.0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • J. Moffatt's horses finish their races 0% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • A 3.1% career win rate for L. Noreci. That is on the low side and could matter today.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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