Ayr
·
Ayr
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins £1.63 · 35 Strong chance
K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls's runners finish 42.9% of their races
35
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 13/8
£1 wins £1.63 · 35 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.63 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls's runners finish 42.9% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- C. Gethings wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Ellison's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- A 3.6% record at this course for B. Ellison. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Out Of The Woods
Underrated horse
£1 wins £5.50 · 22 Strong chance
L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's runners finish 52.2% of their races
22
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's runners finish 52.2% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- C. McCann has won 15.2% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Has won here 1 time in 1 visit. That record at this course is a good sign.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- I. Duncan's horses finish 33.3% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- A 7-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- I. Duncan has a 6.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
£1 wins £200 · 2 Long shot
L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 52.2% of their races
2
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 52.2% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Only 8th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Mike Smith's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- R. Mike Smith wins only 7.0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1001.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Mike Smith's runners finish 0% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- R. Mike Smith wins only 7.0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.