Ayr
·
Ayr
Awaiting result
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Triple Crown Ted
Underrated horse
£1 wins £1.63 · 43 Very strong chance
L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 58.7% of their races
43
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 13/8
£1 wins £1.63 · 43 Very strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.63 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's horses finish 58.7% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore wins only 9.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- B. Ellison's runners finish 33.3% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- B. Ellison wins only 3.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A. Hamilton's horses finish 100% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- This is a 7-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 2.5% record at this course for A. Hamilton. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Gamigin
Underrated horse
£1 wins £16 · 11 Could surprise
N. C Kelly's runners finish 25% of their races
11
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. C Kelly's runners finish 25% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- 46 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
- Has won here 1 time in 1 visit. That record at this course is a good sign.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £18.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. Richards's horses finish 62.5% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
- 7 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Came 8th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £18.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- N. W. Alexander's runners finish 46.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- 43 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
- A 12.0% career win rate for N. W. Alexander. That is below the top trainers.
£1 wins £33 · 4 Long shot
L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's runners finish 58.7% of their races
4
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore's runners finish 58.7% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
- J. Power wins 15.3% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- The last race was disappointing. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.