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Primoz

Primoz is the kind of horse that keeps his trainer awake at night — not because he is bad, but because he is so obviously talented that his inconsistency is maddening. At eight years old, he has won five races from nineteen outings, a respectable 26% win rate, but the pattern of his form tells a story of a horse who can be brilliant one day and disappointing the next. His recent run — a second place just a day ago, sandwiched around a third and two lower finishes — captures this perfectly: flashes of class interrupted by races where he simply does not show up.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Westerner
Mother
Be Mine Tonight
Owner
Aim Equestrian Ltd Russell
Official rating
131

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
19
Career races
5
Wins
26.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
52.6%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
14 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The puzzle, though, is that Primoz is not a horse without strengths. At Ayr, he is genuinely special: three wins from just four races is the kind of record that suggests a course made for him. He also thrives on wet or muddy ground, winning at better than 40%, picking up three victories from seven races when conditions are testing. Derek Fox, who rides him most often, has a partnership that yields a 27% win rate — roughly one win in every four races — suggesting real understanding between jockey and horse. The real battleground is at Class 3 level, where Primoz wins a third of his races, indicating he belongs in competitive company.

What makes Primoz genuinely intriguing is how Lucinda Russell, his trainer, describes him: "one of the most talented horses we've dealt with," yet someone who struggles with consistency and needed a change in training routine to unlock his best self. The yard, based in Perthshire with 49 winners already this season, clearly has the firepower to get the best from him. Russell has even suggested stepping him up in trip might reveal another gear, and there is genuine optimism that his recent jump racing performances — particularly over obstacles — may finally be the key to unlocking what everyone can see is there. When Primoz is good, he is very good indeed. The challenge is getting him good more often.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 3 wins from 7 starts (43%)
✔ Course specialist at Ayr: 3 wins from 4 starts (75%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, hilly
Ok

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Oct
2nd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
10 Apr
DNF
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 30 runners
7 Mar
🏆 Won
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
21 Feb
3rd
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
20 Dec
6th
Haydock Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
15 Nov
5th
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
15 Oct
3rd
Wetherby
1m6f – 2m · Good · 5 runners
17 Sep
2nd
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
3 Apr
7th
Aintree
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
12 Mar
14th
Cheltenham
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Derek Fox Current jockey
26.7%
Win rate
4/15
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
Alan Doyle
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
4 3 wins, 1 third 7 Mar 75%
Kelso
Undulating
4 1 win, 2 seconds, 1 other 4 Oct 25%
Wetherby
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 15 Nov 33.3%
Aintree
Galloping
2 2 other 10 Apr 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Mar 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 other 20 Dec 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 third 21 Feb 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Dec 0%