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Heads Or Harps

Heads Or Harps is a nine-year-old who finally broke through for his first and only win at Ayr back in March 2025, ending what must have felt like an eternity of near-misses. In 13 races across his career, he has finished in the top 3 five times but managed just that single victory — a win rate of roughly 1 in 13 races. The frustrating part for the yard is that his recent form has been a mixture of encouragement and disappointment: his last six outings have brought two top-3 finishes, including a second place, but sandwiched between them are runs outside the frame, most recently a seventh place just a day ago.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Flemensfirth
Mother
Dametori
Owner
Mark Blandford
Official rating
109

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
13
Career races
1
Wins
7.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46.2%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
3 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

At Class 4 level, where he typically races, Heads Or Harps has won 1 of 10 races (10%), suggesting he belongs in that company but lacks the consistency to win regularly. Derek Fox, his most frequent partner, has ridden him eight times and notched one victory together — a 12% win rate that is slightly better than the horse's overall record but still shows how hard it is to get this nine-year-old to the front. The yard of Lucinda Russell and Michael Scudamore, based in Perthshire, has been busy this season with 49 winners to their name, but Heads Or Harps has not added to that tally since early March. At an age when horses often start to wind down their careers, he remains active and still capable of top-3 finishes — the trick is converting one of those near-misses into a win.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Race level
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Oct
7th
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners
6 Mar
2nd
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft
10 Feb
2nd
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
27 Dec
3rd
Chepstow
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
1 Dec
2nd
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 7 runners
8 Nov
6th
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
8 Mar
🏆 Won
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 7 runners
26 Feb
2nd
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners
16 Jan
4th
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
20 Mar
DNF
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Derek Fox Current jockey
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Wins / rides
Tom Scudamore
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
Luca Morgan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
4 1 win, 3 seconds 6 Mar 25%
Southwell
Galloping
2 2 other 20 Mar 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 other 8 Nov 0%
Worcester
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Oct 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 second 26 Feb 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Jan 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Dec 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 third 27 Dec 0%