:

Paul Midgley

Paul Midgley has built something quietly impressive in just four years of training. Since taking out his licence in 2021, he has sent out 158 career winners — a number that suggests a yard that knows exactly what it is doing and gets on with the job without much fuss. In the last 12 months alone, he has posted 37 winners from 354 runners, winning roughly 1 in every 10 races he enters. That might not sound flashy, but in a sport where most trainers would be delighted with half that, it tells you this is a stable that punches consistently above its weight.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Role
Trainer
Based
Westow, N Yorks
Record
37 wins from 354 races
Win rate
10.5%
Top jockey
Best course
Nottingham (26.9% from 26 races)
Best going
Soft (muddy)

📊 Key Numbers

A snapshot of this trainer's performance over the last 12 months
354
Races
37
Wins
10.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
32.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Trainer Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Nottingham has become something of a home away from home for Midgley. Seven winners from 26 runners at that track is a remarkable record — that is more than 1 in every 4 runners turning into a winner, which is the kind of conversion rate that gets other trainers and punters paying close attention. Whether it is his preparation, his eye for the right race, or simply a knack for reading that particular track, Midgley clearly has Nottingham figured out in a way few of his rivals do.

His most trusted ally in the saddle is jockey David Nolan, and their partnership is one worth watching. Ten wins from 117 rides together — roughly 1 in every 12 — might look modest on paper, but 117 rides represents a deep and well-tested working relationship. When a trainer keeps putting the same jockey up race after race, it means there is real communication happening. They understand each other, and that counts for a lot.

Where Midgley really catches the eye is on wet, muddy ground. Three wins from just 17 races in those conditions gives him a win rate of 18% — nearly 1 in every 5 — which is double his overall average. That is not luck. That points to a trainer who understands which horses handle testing ground and is selective about when to run them, rather than just throwing them in and hoping for the best.

Still only four years into the job, Midgley is very much a trainer on the way up. The numbers do not scream and shout, but they tell a consistent story: a yard that places its horses well, keeps winning, and is building a reputation one race at a time.

📈 Form Trend

How this trainer's win rate has changed month by month
Monthly win rate
2025–2026
2.6%
Apr
9.1%
May
16.7%
Jun
11.9%
Jul
12%
Aug
9.8%
Sep
0%
Oct
12.5%
Nov
33.3%
Dec
15.4%
Jan
12.5%
Feb
5.9%
Mar

🎯 Where This Trainer Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to firm
Standard (all-weather)
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Good to soft
Avoids
Standard to slow
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1
Class 2
Ok
Class 3
Avoids
Class 4
Class 5
Class 6
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, wide and galloping
Loves
Left-handed, wide and galloping
Left-handed, undulating
Right-handed, undulating
Left-handed, tight turning
Wide and galloping
Left-handed, tight
Right-handed, tight turning
Avoids

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

The riders they work with most, sorted by rides together
David Nolan First Choice
8.5%
Win rate
10/117
Won / Rode
10.3%
Win rate
6/58
Won / Rode
16.1%
Win rate
5/31
Won / Rode
22.7%
Win rate
5/22
Won / Rode
10%
Win rate
2/20
Won / Rode
6.7%
Win rate
1/15
Won / Rode
18.2%
Win rate
2/11
Won / Rode
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
Alex Jary
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode

Top Horses

The strongest horses currently associated with this trainer
Form: 0726-3
Form: 790-11
Form: 2350-6
Form: 342-27
Form: 6244-4
Form: 9002-8
Form: 907-36
Form: 12543-
Form: 04131-
Form: -41637

🏟 Course Record

Win rate at each course, sorted by number of races
CourseRacesWinsWin rate
Newcastle 71 11 15.5%
Pontefract 38 4 10.5%
Thirsk 29 2 6.9%
Beverley 27 4 14.8%
Nottingham 26 7 26.9%
Ripon 26 0 0%
Southwell 24 1 4.2%
Catterick Bridge 18 2 11.1%
Redcar 18 0 0%
Doncaster 13 1 7.7%
York 13 0 0%
Carlisle 10 1 10%
Haydock Park 10 1 10%
Wolverhampton 7 1 14.3%
Hamilton Park 7 0 0%
Wetherby 4 0 0%
Leicester 4 0 0%
chelmsford 2 1 50%
Great Yarmouth 2 0 0%
Newmarket 1 1 100%
Musselburgh 1 0 0%
Ascot 1 0 0%
Chester 1 0 0%
Huntingdon 1 0 0%

📅 Recent Results

The last 20 results, most recent first
20 Mar
Wolverhampton · 5f – 6½f · Standard
4th
19 Mar
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
3rd
19 Mar
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
2nd
13 Mar
Southwell · Sprint (< 5f) · Standard
3rd
13 Mar
Southwell · Sprint (< 5f) · Standard
7th
12 Mar
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
Won
12 Mar
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
8th
12 Mar
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
4th
11 Mar
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
7th
10 Mar
Southwell · Sprint (< 5f) · Standard
4th
10 Mar
Southwell · Sprint (< 5f) · Standard
11th
10 Mar
Southwell · Sprint (< 5f) · Standard
11th
10 Mar
Southwell · Sprint (< 5f) · Standard
4th
9 Mar
Wolverhampton · 5f – 6½f · Standard
3rd
9 Mar
Wolverhampton · 5f – 6½f · Standard
3rd
4 Mar
Southwell · Sprint (< 5f) · Standard
4th
1 Mar
Huntingdon · 1m6f – 2m · Soft
24 Feb
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
Won
24 Feb
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
6th
24 Feb
Newcastle · 5f – 6½f · Standard
3rd