Her most frequent partnership is with jockey Robbie Colgan, who has ridden 62 of her horses — a serious number that speaks to a genuine working relationship. But the results have been hard to come by, with just 1 winner from those 62 rides together. That's a win rate of around 1 in 62, which suggests the pair have been operating with horses that need things to go their way, rather than horses who go to the track as favourites.
Where Lavery does show a relative strength is on normal ground conditions — her horses have won 2 from 49 races in those circumstances this season, a win rate of 4%, which is double her overall seasonal average. It's a small but telling detail: when the track rides as expected, her horses tend to run to something closer to their potential.
The partnership with Sagasti has yet to click, with no wins from three races together, but three runs is too small a sample to draw conclusions from. What the broader picture suggests is a trainer who has proven she can produce winners consistently — 48 over four years is a genuine achievement — but who is navigating a leaner spell right now. In racing, those spells come for almost everyone. The question is always how quickly the tide turns.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Curragh | 29 | 0 | 0% |
| Dundalk | 28 | 1 | 3.6% |
| Cork | 10 | 1 | 10% |
| Naas | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| Leopardstown | 9 | 0 | 0% |
| Limerick | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Roscommon | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Killarney | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Navan | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Fairyhouse | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Gowran Park | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Tipperary | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Down Royal | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Bellewstown | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Galway | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Punchestown | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Ballinrobe | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Ffos Las | 2 | 0 | 0% |