Wolverhampton

Technically has the best win rate in the field at 1 in 6 races, though that's based on just six career races so it's a small sample. His last run was a well-beaten fifth, and stall 10 puts him on the wrong side of the draw bias — but at 6.5 he's priced as a genuine contender by the market.

The market's second-shortest price despite having won just once from 15 races, and that draw in stall 13 is the widest in the field — a real disadvantage on a track where high draws win only 7% of the time. He ran second last time out, which is encouraging, but he has never won on a left-handed track in seven attempts.

One of only a handful of course winners in this field, and crucially he won right here at Wolverhampton just 31 days ago — the freshest course form in the race. The downside is stall 12, near the worst part of the draw, and the jockey-trainer combination has yet to win together from six attempts.

The most experienced horse in the field by a distance — 56 races compared to a field average of 21 — but that experience hasn't translated here: he's never won at Wolverhampton in six attempts. Drawn wide in stall 11 on a track that heavily favours low draws, and his last run was a fourth beaten over ten lengths, which doesn't inspire confidence.