Wolverhampton
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Awaiting result
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 3/1
£1 wins £3 · 24 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 14% overall win rate for G. Scott. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
The market has made this the clear favourite, and it's easy to see why — St Mawes has the best win rate in the field, winning roughly one in every four races, and has finished second twice on the bounce at Goodwood. The worry is that those runs came on turf, and this is its first try on this artificial surface.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Market favourite (4.0)
£1 wins £4.50 · 19 Solid chance
This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse
19
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 13.2% overall win rate for R. Hughes. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Up against stronger rivals than before. Moving up to a harder race tests whether a horse is improving.
TrackLab Insight
Second in the betting despite having won just once from fifteen races — a win rate of roughly one in fourteen — which feels like the market is backing potential over proven results. Its strongest form has come on turf, and its record on this type of artificial surface is zero wins from three attempts, which is a concern at this price.
2nd in the market (5.5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 12.5% overall win rate for C. Johnston. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
The big question mark here is time — this horse hasn't raced in over seven months, the longest absence in the entire field. When it was last at Wolverhampton, it won, and its record at this sort of distance is strong, but coming back after that long a break is always a risk against fresher rivals.
Absent 212 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
TrackLab Insight
The top-rated horse in this field according to our figures, which gives her a genuine edge on paper despite a modest recent run — she finished ninth at Pontefract last time, beaten over thirteen lengths. She's drawn in stall one, which is the best draw at this course and distance, and today's jockey Rob Hornby is riding her for the first time, so watch how that partnership clicks.
Mid-range in the market (9.0)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Candlish wins 11.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
This is the standout specialist at today's distance — two wins from just three races over a mile and six furlongs is a record no other runner can match. It's been in decent nick lately with a third-place finish last time out, but six runs without a win suggests it's more reliable for a place than a victory.
Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
£1 wins £14 · 7 Could surprise
This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 13.4% overall win rate for K. R. Burke. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- The Standard ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the second-lowest weight in the field and is rated seven pounds below the field average, which tells you the official assessor doesn't think much of its current ability relative to these rivals. Its best win rate comes at shorter distances than today's mile and six furlongs, and a sixth-place finish last time out doesn't help the case.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- 2 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance with 31 races under its belt, and crucially the only runner who has won twice at Wolverhampton itself — that course knowledge is a real asset. It carries the lowest weight of any runner today and has a strong record on this artificial surface, winning roughly one in three times it's raced on it.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Course specialist (2 wins from 6 here)
Most experienced (31 runs, field avg 17)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- Today's ground is Standard, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
TrackLab Insight
Fifteen races into its career and still waiting for a first win — that is the defining fact about Scottish Anthem, and it's hard to look past. The market has drifted it out to 26/1, making it the longest-priced runner in the field, and recent finishes of 3rd, 5th, and 7th don't suggest a dramatic change is coming.
Winless from 15 career races