The market has made this the clear favourite, and it's easy to see why — St Mawes has the best win rate in the field, winning roughly one in every four races, and has finished second twice on the bounce at Goodwood. The worry is that those runs came on turf, and this is its first try on this artificial surface.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)Market favourite (4.0)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Second in the betting despite having won just once from fifteen races — a win rate of roughly one in fourteen — which feels like the market is backing potential over proven results. Its strongest form has come on turf, and its record on this type of artificial surface is zero wins from three attempts, which is a concern at this price.
Won at this course & distanceFresh (212 days off)Won 2 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The big question mark here is time — this horse hasn't raced in over seven months, the longest absence in the entire field. When it was last at Wolverhampton, it won, and its record at this sort of distance is strong, but coming back after that long a break is always a risk against fresher rivals.
The top-rated horse in this field according to our figures, which gives her a genuine edge on paper despite a modest recent run — she finished ninth at Pontefract last time, beaten over thirteen lengths. She's drawn in stall one, which is the best draw at this course and distance, and today's jockey Rob Hornby is riding her for the first time, so watch how that partnership clicks.
Mid-range in the market (9.0)
Trainer Quotes
Aug 2024
"She's been placed several times and finally got her head in front in a valuable novice at Doncaster last week. We'll see what the handicapper does with her this week before deciding where to go next. 02-08-24"
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
This is the standout specialist at today's distance — two wins from just three races over a mile and six furlongs is a record no other runner can match. It's been in decent nick lately with a third-place finish last time out, but six runs without a win suggests it's more reliable for a place than a victory.
Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
Trainer Quotes
Sep 2024
"He's the best-bred horse we have as he's by Lope De Vega out of an Irish Oaks winner. He's much better on the all-weather than turf. After the last all-weather season we put him away and we'll bring him back for a full all-weather campaign. He's back down to a good mark and tends to go well following a break, so first time out he'll be ready to go. David O'Meara thinks the break could have really benefited him and he could be one to follow through the winter. 26-09-24"
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Carries the second-lowest weight in the field and is rated seven pounds below the field average, which tells you the official assessor doesn't think much of its current ability relative to these rivals. Its best win rate comes at shorter distances than today's mile and six furlongs, and a sixth-place finish last time out doesn't help the case.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Won at this course & distanceWon 0 of last 5Won here 2 timesWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field by some distance with 31 races under its belt, and crucially the only runner who has won twice at Wolverhampton itself — that course knowledge is a real asset. It carries the lowest weight of any runner today and has a strong record on this artificial surface, winning roughly one in three times it's raced on it.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldCourse specialist (2 wins from 6 here)Most experienced (31 runs, field avg 17)
Fifteen races into its career and still waiting for a first win — that is the defining fact about Scottish Anthem, and it's hard to look past. The market has drifted it out to 26/1, making it the longest-priced runner in the field, and recent finishes of 3rd, 5th, and 7th don't suggest a dramatic change is coming.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.