Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Has won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite despite drifting in price from 3.5 to 4.5 — meaning fewer people fancy it now than they did earlier. Three consecutive third-place finishes is a curious calling card: consistent enough to suggest ability, frustrating enough to raise questions about whether it can actually get its head in front. The widest draw in the field (stall 11) is a slight negative on this course.
Won at this course & distanceWearing blinkersWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field that has won at Windsor, and specifically over this course and distance — that's a real edge that separates it from every rival today. It also has a solid record on dry ground, winning one from three on this surface. The last two runs have been poor (eighth and tenth), but the blinkers go on today, which is often a trainer's way of trying to sharpen a horse up.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (1 from 3)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2026
"I possibly made a bit of a mess of his campaign last year and I think he'll be seen to better effect over further. He's been gelded, is more straightforward now and I think he could improve on a flat track. He's always showed plenty at home and hopefully he's still unexposed. 02-04-26"
The highest-rated horse in the field by 3lbs, and the joint-best win rate here at roughly 1 in 4 races. That Class 2 victory at Newmarket is the standout result in this field, but he was well beaten last time out and hasn't raced since. The odds have shortened, which suggests punters still believe, but he needs to find better form than his last two runs showed.
Top rated by 3lbsBest career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Two races, two wins — a perfect record and the hat-trick on offer today, which is why the editorial verdict singles it out as greatly respected. The catch is that it has never raced on dry ground before, which is an unknown for a horse that hasn't been fully tested yet. Lightly raced at just two career runs, there's clear upside, but today brings two new challenges at once: the ground and a far stronger field.
Never raced on dry groundLightly raced (2 career races)3 straight top-3 finishes
Has only raced four times and won once, but the key flag here is that it has never raced on dry ground — and that's exactly what it faces today. Every win and placed finish in its brief career has come on different conditions, so this is genuinely uncharted territory. Interesting potential, but a real question mark hangs over how it handles the fast surface.
Never raced on dry ground
Trainer Quotes
May 2026
"He finished his season last year winning 20-05-26"
Fresh (226 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
The biggest unknown in the race — this horse hasn't run for 226 days, the longest absence of any runner here. Its last outing was an eighth-place finish at Ascot, which is hardly an encouraging note to return on. Two wins from seven races is a decent underlying record, but asking it to perform here after seven months off is a significant ask.
The most dramatic market move in the race — its odds have crashed from 17 to 6.4, meaning someone somewhere is very confident. The editorial tip also backs it to bounce back to its best from two years ago. The worry is a poor record on dry ground (zero wins from four attempts on this surface) and back-to-back sixth-place finishes, but that collapsing price is hard to ignore.
Has hit the frame in every single race she's entered — one win and two seconds from three career runs — which is a perfect consistency record. Today she drops two class levels from what she's used to and carries the lowest weight in the field, both of which work in her favour. The flip side is she's the lowest-rated horse here by some margin, and her odds drifting from 5 to 14 suggests the market has cooled significantly.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldDrops 2 classes from usual levelLightly raced (3 career races)
The most relevant stat here is that this horse has won two from four races over this exact six-furlong trip — the best record at today's distance in the field. The problem is that she was beaten over 17 lengths last time out at Newmarket, which is a sharp drop in form. Big odds of 29-1 reflect that inconsistency, but the distance record is genuinely noteworthy.
Fresh (89 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Hasn't raced in 89 days and its odds have drifted sharply from 13 to 23, suggesting the market isn't keen. Its one career win came in the lowest class of race on the card at Chelmsford, and this is a step up in quality. Hard to get excited about it at these odds when there are more compelling options in the field.
Finished 16th at York just 17 days ago, beaten nearly 16 lengths, which is about as discouraging a recent run as you'll find in this field. The odds have ballooned from 29 to 51, reflecting that punters have taken note. Hard to make a case for this one on current form.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.