Warwick
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Jon Shepherd 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Awaiting result
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Why this score
- There is £5,413 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Why this score
- A 2m 4f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- 9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- The Good To Firm ground does not suit this horse. The wrong ground can turn a contender into an also-ran.
Why this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 15.9% overall win rate for F. O'Brien. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Today's ground is Good To Firm, and that is not ideal. A horse on the wrong ground can run much worse.
Why this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- 77 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- R. Summers has a 0% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Why this score
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
Why this score
- A 21.5% win rate at this course for T. Lacey. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
Why this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.